@NCW
#3,067,91270x726c8ac2f2a69e007b3f309074fb12b4ce082558
~20d· 12 markets · 342 tradesVol: $280,9382026-08-04 15:06:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (4/10)5/20
0.28x (win $8,153 / loss $29,477)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2670/15
Sortino -5.1730/10
$-0.2718 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2423 (10 markets)0.4/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 362% of peak ($29,477 / $8,152)0/10
Badges
2Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
Whale
$78,451 invested
Categories
2💰 FINANCE#658,522$-29,088Vol: $165,343
💻 TECH#398$4,829Vol: $115,595
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24,259
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$280,938
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
151B / 191S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$498
Vol: $169
Week
$592
Vol: $11,251
Month
$-302
Vol: $17,489
All Time
$-24,259
Vol: $280,938
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
40%
4W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-24,223
Win Rate
40%
4W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$2,038
Avg Loss
$-4,913
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,818 (0.3227647015597611% of PnL)
Top Winners
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 16?$4,072
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$3,090
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 31?$656
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?$334
Top Losers
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-20,697
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-7,120
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?$-1,273
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$-239
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?$-148
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.258
Sortino
-0.217
HHI
2075
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.286
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.1%
Top-5 markets
90.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.4m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 3.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
26.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)55%
High (>55c)23.8%
Sessions
#1212/15/2025, 11:58:25 PM1 trades$20,2400 min
11/27/2025, 10:27:33 AM1 trades$15,3100 min
12/16/2025, 2:30:31 PM1 trades$9,5610 min
2/13/2026, 2:55:45 PM5 trades$7,1072 min
11/28/2025, 6:10:01 PM2 trades$6,3131 min
2/19/2026, 8:17:24 AM6 trades$6,2993 min
2/20/2026, 3:33:02 PM1 trades$5,4880 min
2/13/2026, 5:01:47 PM1 trades$4,6740 min
11/25/2025, 11:15:33 AM2 trades$4,3172 min
12/16/2025, 2:17:15 PM4 trades$3,8206 min
2/12/2026, 2:20:47 PM1 trades$3,5360 min
7/24/2026, 11:00:07 PM2 trades$2,7150 min
12/16/2025, 6:14:21 AM1 trades$2,5320 min
2/17/2026, 5:38:33 PM2 trades$2,3183 min
2/17/2026, 5:54:09 PM15 trades$1,5772 min
2/17/2026, 4:28:45 PM21 trades$1,4236 min
7/28/2026, 12:59:31 PM21 trades$1,2710 min
12/16/2025, 1:05:49 AM3 trades$1,1615 min
12/16/2025, 4:53:15 AM1 trades$1,0010 min
7/27/2026, 8:37:13 PM27 trades$7960 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
11-28
12-15
12-16
02-13
02-28
05-12
05-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 148 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L21.2 / M55 / H23.8