@Chaplinjg

#88,4613

0x726f01353586101c989c17661e2bd1078cbabab6

~10d· 13 markets · 100 tradesVol: $26,2022026-08-05 17:25:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (2/7)0/20
0.19x (win $66 / loss $354)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.1105 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2427 (7 markets)0.4/10
2/5 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 706% of peak ($335 / $48)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+857
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,318,156$-13Vol: $23,314
SPORTS#1,650,585$-80Vol: $1,898

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$857
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,202
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
62B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
2W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$857
Win Rate
29%
2W / 5L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-71

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (0.07667541557305338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$45
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$21

Top Losers

Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?$-157
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$-112
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$-62
Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)$-18
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.713
Sortino
-1.278
HHI
1892
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.156
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.2%
Top-5 markets
69.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.29
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)58.1%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 6:18:28 AM4 trades$1,0120 min
7/13/2026, 6:51:44 AM7 trades$9321 min
7/17/2026, 3:19:12 AM6 trades$9201 min
4/23/2026, 7:08:18 AM4 trades$8900 min
7/13/2026, 7:37:02 AM4 trades$8900 min
7/17/2026, 6:28:18 AM4 trades$8800 min
7/12/2026, 9:22:58 AM4 trades$8750 min
7/7/2026, 1:26:58 AM4 trades$8700 min
7/12/2026, 10:02:58 AM4 trades$8700 min
4/11/2026, 2:59:07 AM28 trades$6857 min
7/13/2026, 7:01:56 AM2 trades$800 min
7/13/2026, 5:49:44 AM3 trades$802 min
7/17/2026, 2:01:22 AM2 trades$700 min
7/6/2026, 7:05:47 AM2 trades$660 min
6/2/2026, 8:32:15 AM2 trades$621 min
5/28/2026, 2:54:34 AM2 trades$520 min
7/12/2026, 8:52:55 AM2 trades$461 min
4/23/2026, 5:33:22 AM2 trades$450 min
7/12/2026, 9:28:44 AM2 trades$390 min
7/17/2026, 3:28:12 AM2 trades$380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-23
05-28
06-02
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.9 / M0 / H58.1