pqbd

@pqbd

#2,303,12828

0x7280cc075229ec05a0742b1cf4dd7f2d2defbdd1

~104d· 656 markets · 2136 tradesVol: $55,5682026-08-04 22:54:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (333/647)10.7/20
0.95x (win $692 / loss $729)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2420/15
Sortino -0.3110/10
$-0.0088 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 620 (647 markets)9.4/10
45/85 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 274% of peak ($372 / $136)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,496,989$-125Vol: $24,364
SPORTS#148,240$64Vol: $14,367
🏛️ POLITICS#1,191,531$-6Vol: $4,725
🌤️ WEATHER#214,557$-3Vol: $3,838
📈 ECONOMICS#35,053$14Vol: $2,572
🎭 CULTURE#162,631$1Vol: $1,366
💰 FINANCE#95,172$3Vol: $537
💻 TECH#18,544$9Vol: $507
📢 MENTIONS#89,411$-1Vol: $48

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,568
Total Redeem
$23
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
656
total markets
Trades
1474B / 662S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $282
Week
$3
Vol: $283
Month
$3
Vol: $283
All Time
$-42
Vol: $55,568

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
333W / 314L events
Realized PnL
$-42
Win Rate
51%
333W / 314L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $322 (7.5941926345609065% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$149
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$99
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$61
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?$60
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$51
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?$45
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$6
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$6

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-204
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-22
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-20
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)$-10
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?$-10
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$-10
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$-10
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
310
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
32.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 3.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)36.1%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 9:21:37 AM8 trades$1,0643 min
6/1/2026, 5:55:34 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/8/2026, 3:55:46 PM16 trades$6932 min
5/3/2026, 9:08:30 AM6 trades$3973 min
5/17/2026, 1:44:23 PM2 trades$2870 min
6/4/2026, 1:08:10 PM9 trades$2862 min
7/23/2026, 2:53:40 PM2 trades$2800 min
6/7/2026, 9:54:10 AM68 trades$2199 min
5/20/2026, 6:45:59 PM3 trades$2130 min
5/21/2026, 2:00:33 PM3 trades$2090 min
6/7/2026, 8:44:43 AM23 trades$2074 min
5/16/2026, 11:24:29 AM4 trades$1640 min
7/20/2026, 4:45:55 PM2 trades$1430 min
7/20/2026, 6:06:40 PM2 trades$1391 min
7/10/2026, 10:08:34 PM4 trades$1340 min
6/16/2026, 4:49:04 PM5 trades$1250 min
8/4/2026, 1:12:06 PM4 trades$1121 min
5/4/2026, 6:58:30 PM37 trades$1126 min
5/21/2026, 2:39:43 PM6 trades$1010 min
7/14/2026, 6:36:11 PM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-12
02-21
04-01
04-16
05-13
06-16
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M1.2 / H36.1