@CondeDeBelloch
#3,034,552190x72bbbbaaf12a529e0afed34ae77dac30f89eef39
~38d· 118 markets · 704 tradesVol: $1,053,8742026-08-04 18:57:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (57/98)14.1/20
0.29x (win $7,138 / loss $24,375)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5560/15
Sortino -5.3520/10
$-0.6310 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9258 (98 markets)0/10
16/31 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 206529% of peak ($17,245 / $8)0/10
Badges
2DCA Master
Avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,855$-2,237Vol: $973,852
⚽ SPORTS#1,836,847$-1,208Vol: $73,508
₿ CRYPTO#1,588,774$-471Vol: $5,844
🌤️ WEATHER#238,082$-7Vol: $377
🎭 CULTURE#668,024$-7Vol: $167
📈 ECONOMICS#157,216$0Vol: $106
📢 MENTIONS#129,216$-10Vol: $19
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,053,874
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
233B / 471S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,941
Vol: $1,053,874
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
57W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-3,941
Win Rate
58%
57W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$125
Avg Loss
$-739
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,592 (0.9114717488675438% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2,876
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$384
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$331
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$316
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$315
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$290
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$278
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$256
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$253
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$221
Top Losers
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9,813
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,619
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,207
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-602
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-600
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-459
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-440
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-200
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.204
HHI
2921
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.450
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40%
Top-5 markets
95.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)71.2%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 12:20:10 AM23 trades$447,5663 min
6/17/2026, 11:45:31 PM38 trades$385,6565 min
6/18/2026, 3:04:31 PM146 trades$7,55836 min
7/19/2026, 1:23:30 AM2 trades$7,4770 min
7/18/2026, 5:18:06 PM5 trades$6,1683 min
7/18/2026, 6:18:10 PM7 trades$1,8821 min
6/19/2026, 3:51:56 PM52 trades$1,81720 min
6/19/2026, 4:36:20 PM31 trades$1,5434 min
6/20/2026, 5:11:17 AM19 trades$1,5032 min
7/3/2026, 10:18:16 PM2 trades$1,0140 min
6/30/2026, 4:34:53 AM14 trades$1,0033 min
6/21/2026, 7:36:07 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/3/2026, 10:35:52 PM5 trades$1,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:09:59 PM3 trades$9780 min
6/22/2026, 6:56:11 PM10 trades$9396 min
6/22/2026, 7:34:22 PM11 trades$9351 min
7/19/2026, 3:35:24 PM2 trades$8710 min
7/19/2026, 6:46:39 PM2 trades$8710 min
6/19/2026, 4:23:43 PM25 trades$7261 min
6/20/2026, 9:57:26 PM4 trades$6001 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
06-02
06-19
06-24
06-29
07-06
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 197 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.9 / M21.9 / H71.2