@Chisholma

#2,484,12613

0x72f9a0139b0930915b5d764f336e98f67bdc6f64

~13d· 21 markets · 111 tradesVol: $27,8742026-08-04 19:58:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (6/15)5/20
0.17x (win $168 / loss $964)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.5680/15
Sortino -11.0350/10
$-0.2002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 823 (15 markets)8.4/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 574% of peak ($964 / $168)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
43% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,257,431$-9Vol: $24,723
⚽ SPORTS#1,639,111$-71Vol: $3,151

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-80
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,874
Total Redeem
$685
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
67B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
6W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-80
Win Rate
40%
6W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (1.833416272704653% of PnL)

Top Winners

NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$95
Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5)$36
Spread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)$16
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$10
Spread: FC Metz (-1.5)$7
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will Trump attend NATO Summit?$-194
Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?$-188
Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by July 31?$-163
Will Russia capture Myropillia by July 31?$-140
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?$-88
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?$-78
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5$-51
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa 1st Half O/U 1.5$-50
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.627
Sortino
-0.805
HHI
934
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.239
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22%
Top-5 markets
59.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.7m
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.3%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)56.7%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 6:49:07 AM4 trades$1,0351 min
6/11/2026, 3:30:39 AM4 trades$1,0280 min
6/7/2026, 3:05:19 AM6 trades$1,0172 min
7/26/2026, 6:46:33 AM4 trades$9180 min
6/24/2026, 5:55:01 AM8 trades$8254 min
6/24/2026, 6:46:38 AM4 trades$7800 min
6/29/2026, 8:38:52 AM8 trades$7801 min
6/28/2026, 5:51:04 AM4 trades$7721 min
6/21/2026, 4:39:43 AM6 trades$5352 min
6/20/2026, 6:51:44 AM4 trades$5200 min
4/30/2026, 5:53:16 AM2 trades$4700 min
4/30/2026, 7:24:16 AM2 trades$4500 min
6/29/2026, 7:45:43 AM6 trades$4483 min
4/30/2026, 7:03:52 AM1 trades$4380 min
6/16/2026, 5:04:45 AM9 trades$3892 min
4/20/2026, 2:43:06 AM2 trades$3800 min
4/20/2026, 6:22:18 AM2 trades$3800 min
4/20/2026, 5:55:28 AM1 trades$3630 min
4/10/2026, 8:43:43 AM2 trades$3080 min
4/10/2026, 11:41:41 AM2 trades$3050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-20
04-30
06-07
06-11
06-20
06-21
06-24
06-28
06-29
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 87 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.3 / M0 / H56.7