RiskyyLemon

@RiskyyLemon

#2,992,20811

0x731c34cd5ea5a7ba7c8101b9978724cbb57a637d

~80d· 140 markets · 1252 tradesVol: $404,4192026-08-05 15:50:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (36/110)1.4/20
0.75x (win $10,680 / loss $14,249)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6760/15
Sortino -2.5900/10
$-0.1102 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 393 (110 markets)10/10
14/47 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 194% of peak ($9,494 / $4,893)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#10,930$2,203Vol: $278,131
SPORTS#1,847,957$-1,639Vol: $49,664
🎭 CULTURE#784,980$-106Vol: $18,114
💰 FINANCE#643,067$-212Vol: $16,919
📈 ECONOMICS#676,539$-536Vol: $9,811
💻 TECH#257,089$-697Vol: $7,552
CRYPTO#139,088$41Vol: $2,895
📢 MENTIONS#164,419$-101Vol: $1,734

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,910
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$404,419
Total Redeem
$777
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
140
total markets
Trades
895B / 357S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $0
Week
$26
Vol: $0
Month
$75
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,910
Vol: $404,419

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
36W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-1,916
Win Rate
33%
36W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$297
Avg Loss
$-195

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,774 (1.9699400785034242% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1,378
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1,320
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1,076
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$995
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$930
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$610
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$605
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$605
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$500
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?$307

Top Losers

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,270
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-1,774
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$-1,341
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$-1,000
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-548
Rockets vs. Lakers$-516
Lakers vs. Rockets$-493
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-460
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-445
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.087
Sortino
-0.134
HHI
688
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.3%
Top-5 markets
45.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 648s — normal for humanCV 3.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.3%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)14.4%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 2:32:35 AM22 trades$5,77410 min
4/1/2026, 6:36:15 PM16 trades$4,9305 min
6/6/2026, 5:54:49 PM28 trades$3,24410 min
7/4/2026, 4:20:37 PM12 trades$2,1573 min
4/5/2026, 4:05:21 PM31 trades$1,76911 min
3/3/2026, 7:16:59 AM6 trades$1,50211 min
4/4/2026, 7:18:41 AM27 trades$1,2450 min
4/24/2026, 2:27:30 AM6 trades$1,1858 min
5/5/2026, 6:07:50 AM9 trades$1,1361 min
5/16/2026, 4:17:39 AM5 trades$1,1080 min
3/5/2026, 6:09:01 AM1 trades$1,0600 min
4/30/2026, 4:01:16 AM15 trades$1,04213 min
5/16/2026, 4:31:48 AM3 trades$9930 min
4/22/2026, 2:50:38 PM4 trades$9060 min
7/14/2026, 7:36:46 PM16 trades$8612 min
3/3/2026, 5:22:29 AM21 trades$80721 min
4/1/2026, 6:53:59 PM3 trades$7905 min
4/3/2026, 6:41:55 AM4 trades$7883 min
4/1/2026, 6:59:49 AM4 trades$6630 min
4/3/2026, 7:42:31 AM6 trades$6591 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-25
04-06
04-18
04-30
05-12
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.3 / M28.3 / H14.4