black-dog

@black-dog

#3,049,97339

0x733616752a8a7b0c501d4e9d4e29703f7ee51f7b

~67d· 136 markets · 1196 tradesVol: $960,2652026-08-04 20:09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (107/136)20/20
0.68x (win $12,764 / loss $18,653)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6640/15
Sortino -1.7820/10
$-0.0153 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 754 (136 markets)8.7/10
34/45 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 679% of peak ($9,769 / $1,440)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$384,566 invested
Consistent
34/45 profitable days
High Roller
$1,709/day
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#17,022$2,554Vol: $643,411
SPORTS#1,869,277$-3,629Vol: $252,167
🎭 CULTURE#815,313$-3,705Vol: $45,085
💻 TECH#258,191$-1,751Vol: $11,530
🏛️ POLITICS#114,277$30Vol: $5,621
💰 FINANCE#597,536$-21Vol: $2,451

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,521
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$960,265
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
636B / 560S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~67d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
107W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-6,521
Win Rate
79%
107W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$119
Avg Loss
$-982

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,814 (0.8915597061845394% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hornets vs. Thunder$2,561
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?$1,835
Seahawks vs. 49ers$1,419
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Frances Tiafoe$970
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$935
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?$772
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$591
Jazz vs. Trail Blazers$400
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$392
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$349

Top Losers

Will Tunisia win on 2026-01-03?$-5,783
Warriors vs. Clippers$-3,688
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-3,688
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-1,275
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $-965
Nuggets vs. 76ers$-862
Suns vs. Rockets$-547
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-488
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?$-465
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?$-427

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
150
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)93.1%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 5:28:46 PM57 trades$190,0666 min
1/6/2026, 2:10:47 AM3 trades$16,7001 min
1/5/2026, 5:02:21 AM24 trades$14,05416 min
1/6/2026, 5:11:25 AM10 trades$12,4964 min
1/6/2026, 3:11:53 AM21 trades$11,9088 min
5/10/2026, 3:30:43 AM4 trades$11,3691 min
1/6/2026, 4:06:53 AM17 trades$11,26312 min
1/3/2026, 9:39:03 AM5 trades$11,0805 min
5/13/2026, 1:05:52 PM7 trades$10,8901 min
5/10/2026, 9:17:04 PM12 trades$10,7433 min
1/6/2026, 4:36:09 AM8 trades$10,19513 min
5/17/2026, 9:50:02 PM10 trades$9,2231 min
5/11/2026, 9:08:13 AM13 trades$9,1370 min
1/6/2026, 2:41:53 AM16 trades$8,3733 min
1/6/2026, 2:33:41 AM2 trades$8,3680 min
12/24/2025, 4:40:27 PM7 trades$8,0815 min
1/6/2026, 1:46:17 AM3 trades$8,0261 min
12/24/2025, 3:37:25 AM18 trades$8,00821 min
1/4/2026, 1:14:03 PM1 trades$7,8360 min
1/4/2026, 12:57:31 PM9 trades$7,7544 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
01-03
01-27
05-02
05-11
05-20
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M1.7 / H93.1