@estoicc
#23,522670x738a4849db23670996f14dff96a2bc6a8f885996
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (165/333)9.8/20
1.41x (win $11,058 / loss $7,835)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.11315/15
Sortino 3.86810/10
$+0.1031 per $1 invested5.2/10
HHI 168 (333 markets)10/10
59/109 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($1,930 / $3,604)3.3/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+5,489
DCA Master
Avg 8.0 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#7,728$3,737Vol: $88,473
⚽ SPORTS#82,716$229Vol: $45,404
💰 FINANCE#10,914$245Vol: $9,148
🎭 CULTURE#7,723$519Vol: $8,447
📈 ECONOMICS#13,154$92Vol: $2,473
💻 TECH#5,063$136Vol: $2,310
₿ CRYPTO#46,435$426Vol: $2,300
📢 MENTIONS#6,293$93Vol: $1,264
🌤️ WEATHER#176,314$-0Vol: $46
Overview
#1Net PnL
$5,489
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$160,349
Total Redeem
$52
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
382
total markets
Trades
1305B / 1283S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~133d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $1,010
Week
$-45
Vol: $4,325
Month
$-200
Vol: $6,108
All Time
$5,489
Vol: $160,349
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
165W / 168L events
Realized PnL
$5,489
Win Rate
50%
165W / 168L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-53
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,433 (0.625390341751719% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$1,491
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,325
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$616
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$531
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?$379
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$353
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$344
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$311
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$274
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$267
Top Losers
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-866
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-823
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-253
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-233
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-219
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-214
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$-210
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-186
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-174
Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?$-172
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
0.154
HHI
136
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
18.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1535s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active2.7 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)20.1%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)52.6%
Sessions
#125/28/2026, 5:21:04 AM2 trades$2,3330 min
5/22/2026, 6:11:30 AM6 trades$1,8340 min
6/13/2026, 10:07:03 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
8/3/2026, 4:47:08 AM2 trades$1,4860 min
6/27/2026, 11:46:23 PM3 trades$1,0500 min
7/6/2026, 11:41:31 PM5 trades$9333 min
6/1/2026, 10:44:20 PM2 trades$7130 min
6/14/2026, 9:25:16 PM42 trades$70514 min
7/9/2026, 11:38:10 PM28 trades$67312 min
7/7/2026, 1:11:02 AM6 trades$6605 min
8/4/2026, 9:44:05 AM7 trades$6404 min
6/17/2026, 7:11:17 PM8 trades$5630 min
7/7/2026, 12:54:08 AM2 trades$5550 min
8/1/2026, 2:00:42 AM6 trades$5490 min
7/6/2026, 10:02:07 PM6 trades$5273 min
6/27/2026, 11:30:23 PM4 trades$5170 min
7/12/2026, 9:29:55 PM12 trades$5162 min
5/14/2026, 3:14:42 AM4 trades$5090 min
6/7/2026, 8:49:10 PM2 trades$4880 min
7/4/2026, 3:52:38 AM2 trades$4630 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-11
05-03
05-27
06-16
07-06
08-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.1 / M27.3 / H52.6