@Oakcroft

#2,952,82337

0x73b747e5051de0bad0277226c44e70ea07f4af71

~16d· 20 markets · 71 tradesVol: $21,7812026-08-04 15:06:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (12/16)20/20
0.21x (win $452 / loss $2,136)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.8940/15
Sortino -8.1370/10
$-0.1423 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 691 (16 markets)9/10
7/11 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 10270% of peak ($1,755 / $17)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 75%
Consistent
7/11 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#83,663$59Vol: $17,190
SPORTS#1,820,871$-867Vol: $3,548

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,260
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,781
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
46B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Week
$10
Vol: $2,344
Month
$10
Vol: $2,344
All Time
$-1,260
Vol: $21,781

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
12W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-1,260
Win Rate
75%
12W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-534

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $246 (0.19540905014009383% of PnL)

Top Winners

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?$99
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?$82
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$66
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$37
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?$30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$25
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)$22
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?$16
Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)$10

Top Losers

Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)$-1,027
Spread: Matsumoto Yamaga FC (-2.5)$-455
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$-349
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?$-304

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.444
Sortino
-0.448
HHI
552
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.163
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
41%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
58%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 586s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)58% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)76.1%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 5:23:22 AM3 trades$9973 min
8/3/2026, 8:59:24 AM4 trades$9720 min
6/2/2026, 5:08:47 AM4 trades$9500 min
4/10/2026, 8:58:25 AM4 trades$6010 min
4/7/2026, 5:19:11 AM4 trades$5390 min
5/16/2026, 5:57:52 AM2 trades$5290 min
5/16/2026, 3:36:16 AM2 trades$5260 min
5/31/2026, 3:03:43 AM1 trades$5190 min
5/15/2026, 4:35:43 AM2 trades$5171 min
5/31/2026, 4:30:38 AM2 trades$5151 min
5/16/2026, 5:25:58 AM1 trades$5140 min
5/15/2026, 2:17:02 AM2 trades$5140 min
5/28/2026, 4:24:45 AM2 trades$4930 min
5/15/2026, 4:26:16 AM1 trades$4930 min
5/14/2026, 2:53:20 AM1 trades$4900 min
5/6/2026, 6:28:12 AM2 trades$4780 min
7/8/2026, 6:32:56 AM2 trades$4750 min
7/8/2026, 8:25:11 AM4 trades$4660 min
5/6/2026, 7:43:58 AM1 trades$4560 min
5/6/2026, 8:11:46 AM1 trades$4550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-10
05-05
05-06
05-14
05-15
05-16
05-28
05-31
06-02
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M0 / H76.1