@offroadtms

#100,18711

0x73d7099e4079bdd9c5f5ab0c05758e2de4aa11b2

~113d· 713 markets · 2889 tradesVol: $421,8032026-08-04 21:04:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (221/695)0.9/20
0.71x (win $20,348 / loss $28,565)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.7400/15
Sortino -2.3160/10
$-0.0939 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 381 (695 markets)10/10
24/83 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($16,502 / $8,285)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+679
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$87,530 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#8,598$3,169Vol: $307,717
💰 FINANCE#655,301$-1,419Vol: $40,676
📈 ECONOMICS#675,904$-500Vol: $33,236
🎭 CULTURE#797,010$-230Vol: $21,315
CRYPTO#1,482,800$-110Vol: $7,329
📢 MENTIONS#162,867$-92Vol: $4,013
SPORTS#1,624,227$-63Vol: $3,783
🌤️ WEATHER#255,944$-16Vol: $496

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$679
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$421,803
Total Redeem
$26
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
713
total markets
Trades
1660B / 1229S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

Periods

#2
Today
$-91
Vol: $3,959
Week
$-87
Vol: $3,959
Month
$-104
Vol: $3,959
All Time
$679
Vol: $421,803

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
221W / 473L events
Realized PnL
$679
Win Rate
32%
221W / 473L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,288 (15.141997203620576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4,248
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$3,914
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$2,127
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,346
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,271
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1,049
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?$813
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$621
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$543
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$531

Top Losers

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-4,952
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-2,762
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-2,651
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-2,378
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$-1,228
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-1,041
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-980
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-947
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$-902
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-860

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.090
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
295
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.7
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 3.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active4.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.6%
Mid (20-55c)43.6%
High (>55c)19.8%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 3:22:38 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
2/28/2026, 4:54:39 PM2 trades$9,1822 min
3/1/2026, 1:31:45 AM1 trades$5,1480 min
4/5/2026, 7:11:55 AM2 trades$5,1480 min
4/15/2026, 7:26:08 PM4 trades$4,8960 min
4/17/2026, 1:36:22 PM12 trades$3,9770 min
2/28/2026, 10:19:31 PM6 trades$3,7313 min
4/8/2026, 8:04:17 AM9 trades$3,4620 min
7/27/2026, 9:28:57 AM9 trades$3,2000 min
4/17/2026, 1:16:46 PM32 trades$3,1323 min
4/15/2026, 4:47:08 PM17 trades$2,9430 min
4/16/2026, 7:15:14 PM4 trades$2,6560 min
4/1/2026, 11:30:45 AM31 trades$2,6111 min
6/12/2026, 9:22:07 AM12 trades$2,5621 min
4/8/2026, 12:05:59 PM21 trades$2,4435 min
4/15/2026, 11:33:16 AM2 trades$2,2730 min
3/31/2026, 3:23:27 PM13 trades$2,2401 min
3/5/2026, 5:28:13 PM2 trades$2,0003 min
4/16/2026, 3:23:12 PM2 trades$1,8810 min
6/17/2026, 8:35:11 AM14 trades$1,8526 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-01
03-19
04-11
05-01
05-24
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.17/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.6 / M43.6 / H19.8