@0x7476…c704

40

0x747699653f54a091dc768eb653c70626c822c704

~42d· 41 markets · 73 trades2026-08-04 23:48:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (37/41)20/20
0.31x (win $21 / loss $66)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3840/15
Sortino -2.3950/10
$-0.0125 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 501 (41 markets)10/10
32/36 profitable days (89%)10/10
Max DD 6783% of peak ($64 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
32/36 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,618
Total Redeem
$116
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
59B / 14S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
37W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-57
Win Rate
90%
37W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14 (0.2435964453737585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$8
Trump out as President by April 30?$5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1
Will xAI’s Grok 4 lose the NOF1.ai competition?$1
Will Google reach $420 in March?$1
Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?$1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$1
Will XRP dip to $0.50 June 15-21?$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-60
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.033
HHI
486
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 0.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 12:49:34 PM2 trades$2360 min
5/27/2026, 7:51:21 AM2 trades$2360 min
4/9/2026, 7:51:31 AM2 trades$2320 min
3/23/2026, 3:07:13 AM2 trades$2310 min
7/27/2026, 6:08:49 AM1 trades$1200 min
5/1/2026, 1:31:40 AM4 trades$1190 min
5/16/2026, 1:21:29 AM2 trades$1180 min
6/9/2026, 10:52:33 AM3 trades$1180 min
5/18/2026, 5:00:39 PM6 trades$1184 min
4/11/2026, 6:22:45 PM1 trades$1170 min
4/20/2026, 12:58:52 AM1 trades$1170 min
3/20/2026, 7:57:25 AM1 trades$1160 min
3/8/2026, 1:11:31 AM1 trades$1160 min
11/6/2025, 12:03:35 PM1 trades$1080 min
11/2/2025, 1:27:35 AM1 trades$1040 min
1/7/2026, 2:59:37 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/2/2025, 7:20:46 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/20/2025, 1:04:45 AM1 trades$1030 min
1/2/2026, 3:16:47 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/7/2025, 7:34:01 AM3 trades$1032 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
12-02
12-24
01-26
03-11
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100