@xcaiox
#40,037900x747837d9e1763345ab994e8652c8d0ba59bb4003
~110d· 249 markets · 1163 tradesVol: $133,9012026-08-04 20:05:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
75% (160/213)20/20
1.97x (win $9,440 / loss $4,780)14.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.97915/15
Sortino 6.26210/10
$+0.0503 per $1 invested2.5/10
HHI 440 (213 markets)10/10
58/81 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 29% of peak ($1,536 / $5,355)8.3/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+2,804
Whale
$92,722 invested
Consistent
58/81 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 29%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#21,038$777Vol: $72,020
💰 FINANCE#17,588$106Vol: $28,149
💻 TECH#1,197$1,258Vol: $20,602
⚽ SPORTS#1,772,597$-314Vol: $6,563
📈 ECONOMICS#3,733$738Vol: $4,617
🎭 CULTURE#12,508$239Vol: $1,950
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2,804
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,901
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
249
total markets
Trades
924B / 239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d
Periods
#2Today
$212
Vol: $0
Week
$-540
Vol: $0
Month
$-679
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,804
Vol: $133,901
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
75%
160W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$2,804
Win Rate
75%
160W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.97x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-100
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,564 (0.9145562847767158% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bolsonaro guilty?$1,152
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?$766
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?$646
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?$466
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$387
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?$324
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?$319
Brazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$247
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?$232
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$222
Top Losers
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-894
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$-686
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$-500
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-417
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?$-301
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 3?$-214
OpenAI browser by October 31?$-204
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?$-183
Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?$-102
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.207
Sortino
0.191
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.092
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
18.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.53
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)87.8%
Sessions
#122/12/2026, 3:11:07 AM3 trades$5,3573 min
1/23/2026, 2:24:22 AM16 trades$4,73412 min
9/14/2025, 12:17:12 PM10 trades$4,48414 min
12/19/2025, 3:14:07 AM5 trades$3,9241 min
1/3/2026, 5:39:03 PM2 trades$3,1540 min
9/13/2025, 7:30:10 PM5 trades$2,12710 min
12/17/2025, 8:50:51 PM6 trades$2,1202 min
12/17/2025, 7:55:07 PM19 trades$1,8402 min
6/25/2026, 4:15:17 AM37 trades$1,83011 min
7/11/2026, 11:04:49 PM39 trades$1,74913 min
5/31/2026, 2:17:45 PM38 trades$1,6741 min
1/1/2026, 2:16:03 PM14 trades$1,57419 min
9/14/2025, 12:01:40 PM9 trades$1,4747 min
9/1/2025, 11:04:11 PM1 trades$1,4390 min
5/22/2026, 5:10:08 AM26 trades$1,4254 min
9/5/2025, 1:36:08 AM3 trades$1,3135 min
12/17/2025, 9:00:09 PM4 trades$1,2442 min
1/24/2026, 12:36:56 AM4 trades$1,2395 min
9/6/2025, 1:37:22 PM1 trades$1,2370 min
10/2/2025, 12:41:23 AM17 trades$1,13510 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
08-29
09-20
11-02
12-16
01-17
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M10.5 / H87.8