@Nimbus.Kelvin
#3,041,405600x75cccaced848ab3bd789057327e293e56b176b15
~77d· 514 markets · 3082 tradesVol: $300,3572026-08-04 15:06:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (251/506)9.8/20
1.18x (win $10,289 / loss $8,752)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.99815/15
Sortino 3.33510/10
$+0.0553 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 78 (506 markets)10/10
44/76 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($1,055 / $1,589)0.7/10
Badges
3DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#299,121$-4,864Vol: $300,088
⚽ SPORTS#502,983$0Vol: $332
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4,863
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$300,357
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
514
total markets
Trades
1746B / 1336S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d
Periods
#2Today
$-30
Vol: $1,976
Week
$-4
Vol: $5,352
Month
$-55
Vol: $8,190
All Time
$-4,863
Vol: $300,357
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
251W / 255L events
Realized PnL
$-4,863
Win Rate
50%
251W / 255L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-36
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,356 (0.2788478936719688% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 4?$708
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 8?$331
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?$317
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$295
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?$200
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?$200
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 10?$196
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 22?$180
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?$156
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 8?$154
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 7?$-408
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?$-403
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?$-296
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 21?$-276
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?$-264
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 21?$-256
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 28?$-246
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?$-203
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?$-199
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$-170
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.144
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
10.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 397s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.04
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)66.4%
Sessions
#126/4/2026, 12:31:36 PM13 trades$1,0533 min
6/4/2026, 12:46:40 PM3 trades$1,0210 min
7/5/2026, 2:24:05 AM9 trades$6387 min
7/2/2026, 3:53:17 PM8 trades$4751 min
7/17/2026, 12:45:27 PM4 trades$4142 min
7/2/2026, 6:34:41 AM2 trades$4130 min
6/21/2026, 5:36:23 AM15 trades$3997 min
7/6/2026, 12:46:40 PM16 trades$3824 min
7/2/2026, 7:16:50 AM2 trades$3760 min
7/2/2026, 2:56:37 PM2 trades$3490 min
6/26/2026, 2:23:41 AM13 trades$3394 min
7/6/2026, 12:19:32 PM14 trades$33013 min
7/2/2026, 3:24:13 PM2 trades$3160 min
7/3/2026, 9:06:19 AM16 trades$3093 min
6/24/2026, 11:52:32 AM2 trades$2961 min
6/25/2026, 5:03:29 PM7 trades$2721 min
6/20/2026, 5:55:29 PM3 trades$2604 min
6/21/2026, 8:11:28 AM4 trades$2470 min
7/6/2026, 8:18:59 PM12 trades$2472 min
6/27/2026, 6:58:28 PM9 trades$2462 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-27
05-13
06-09
06-21
07-04
07-18
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M29.9 / H66.4