@NabFire11

#3,035,37139

0x75de4e9b93fdf60bd9175694f6ed108b5acd98c0

~88d· 352 markets · 1950 tradesVol: $215,1792026-08-04 23:41:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (267/351)20/20
0.63x (win $6,765 / loss $10,804)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6730/15
Sortino -2.8380/10
$-0.0384 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 125 (351 markets)10/10
51/79 profitable days (65%)8.6/10
Max DD 1135% of peak ($4,670 / $411)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 76%
DCA Master
Avg 5.8 entries/market
Whale
$105,297 invested
Consistent
51/79 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#810,812$-1,002Vol: $111,581
💰 FINANCE#656,993$-2,746Vol: $81,629
🏛️ POLITICS#90,659$50Vol: $12,528
SPORTS#1,754,808$-246Vol: $8,195
CRYPTO#1,364,871$-42Vol: $1,023
🌤️ WEATHER#233,294$-6Vol: $222

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,991
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$215,179
Total Redeem
$9,064
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
352
total markets
Trades
573B / 1377S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $609
Week
$26
Vol: $1,550
Month
$40
Vol: $1,550
All Time
$-3,991
Vol: $215,179

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
267W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$-3,991
Win Rate
76%
267W / 84L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-208

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,219 (0.30541550982770194% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$496
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$365
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$357
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$319
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$301
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$268
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$262
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$235
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$210
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 1?$205

Top Losers

Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $580?$-2,022
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-1,883
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-1,262
Will Meta (META) finish week of April 27 above $610?$-1,078
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-1,013
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-800
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $285 on March 26?$-400
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-311
Will Meta (META) close above $580 on March 26?$-300
Will Meta (META) close at <$610 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?$-202

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
13.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 105s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.76
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)77.1%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 9:55:39 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/24/2026, 5:19:06 PM24 trades$4,1387 min
5/15/2026, 3:57:59 PM17 trades$3,8015 min
6/26/2026, 8:59:16 AM53 trades$3,7502 min
4/27/2026, 10:06:46 PM13 trades$3,0782 min
6/12/2026, 3:48:12 PM2 trades$2,6460 min
3/25/2026, 10:59:33 PM5 trades$2,6229 min
5/13/2026, 9:00:25 PM20 trades$2,6161 min
5/12/2026, 9:19:53 PM4 trades$2,4300 min
6/23/2026, 5:45:49 AM7 trades$2,3170 min
3/11/2026, 9:01:09 PM10 trades$2,2762 min
6/14/2026, 11:06:07 PM15 trades$2,2244 min
3/24/2026, 6:14:23 PM4 trades$2,2204 min
3/10/2026, 8:34:03 PM8 trades$2,1962 min
3/9/2026, 8:39:43 PM5 trades$2,1411 min
4/30/2026, 10:00:02 PM23 trades$2,1165 min
6/12/2026, 6:40:48 AM24 trades$2,0960 min
7/3/2026, 4:58:52 AM6 trades$2,0940 min
6/26/2026, 7:49:07 AM5 trades$2,0941 min
5/15/2026, 2:12:14 PM13 trades$1,9924 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-21
04-26
05-13
06-12
06-30
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.2 / M11.7 / H77.1