@littleceasers

#2,900,27424

0x764b2c42bc0cbcb501079dd363c35d08f8091faf

~111d· 2110 markets · 10313 tradesVol: $235,7542026-08-04 20:59:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (1029/2104)9.5/20
0.83x (win $26,259 / loss $31,450)0.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1580/15
Sortino -2.5110/10
$-0.0814 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 60 (2104 markets)10/10
49/109 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 484% of peak ($6,726 / $1,388)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Whale
$63,742 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,602,417$-658Vol: $130,197
SPORTS#1,825,723$-975Vol: $80,331
💰 FINANCE#3,543$1,244Vol: $13,357
🎭 CULTURE#755,330$-42Vol: $1,377
🏛️ POLITICS#1,023,806$-2Vol: $345
📈 ECONOMICS#194,672$0Vol: $26
🌤️ WEATHER#177,307$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-779
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$235,754
Total Redeem
$1,573
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2110
total markets
Trades
4425B / 5888S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d

Periods

#2
Today
$-93
Vol: $434
Week
$-96
Vol: $2,652
Month
$29
Vol: $4,246
All Time
$-779
Vol: $235,754

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
1029W / 1075L events
Realized PnL
$-779
Win Rate
49%
1029W / 1075L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,534 (4.536272622256449% of PnL)

Top Winners

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1,604
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$1,048
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$882
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athletics$866
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$674
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$667
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$581
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$453
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves$330
Kings vs. Raptors$307

Top Losers

Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres$-1,381
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics$-1,331
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$-1,318
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants$-1,271
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-1,097
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels$-1,033
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$-896
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 7PM ET$-621
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals$-474
Will the IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final be a sweep?$-406

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
62
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
71.1
Very active
Markets / Day
14.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.9m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock71 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)50.6%
High (>55c)46%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 3:41:13 AM7 trades$2,1700 min
6/26/2026, 3:57:26 AM6 trades$2,0540 min
6/21/2026, 8:21:50 PM5 trades$1,9883 min
7/2/2026, 2:22:31 PM9 trades$1,8290 min
6/25/2026, 11:07:10 PM2 trades$1,7570 min
6/17/2026, 4:43:17 AM2 trades$1,7480 min
7/2/2026, 3:05:10 PM17 trades$1,5574 min
6/25/2026, 10:06:10 PM2 trades$1,5140 min
6/23/2026, 5:11:13 PM24 trades$1,46510 min
4/2/2026, 1:09:13 AM14 trades$1,3164 min
6/25/2026, 12:06:20 AM4 trades$1,3022 min
6/21/2026, 7:35:29 PM11 trades$1,1882 min
6/26/2026, 3:38:25 AM8 trades$1,0515 min
4/1/2026, 9:32:19 AM92 trades$99258 min
6/21/2026, 7:46:26 PM2 trades$9230 min
6/24/2026, 6:08:52 PM4 trades$8942 min
7/3/2026, 11:59:28 PM46 trades$8762 min
6/24/2026, 6:25:52 PM20 trades$8682 min
6/25/2026, 3:57:44 AM6 trades$8500 min
6/17/2026, 3:52:35 AM8 trades$8440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
04-16
05-09
06-07
06-25
07-16
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M50.6 / H46