@TrulyAsia

#2,864,3938

0x76bee9b4cf1af6ef8ae69279b3bdb308579010ed

~10d· 29 markets · 60 tradesVol: $8,0012026-08-04 20:09:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (8/29)0/20
0.29x (win $169 / loss $576)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.6550/15
Sortino -8.2250/10
$-0.4312 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1544 (29 markets)4.8/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 768% of peak ($468 / $61)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,779,469$-353Vol: $4,034
₿ CRYPTO#1,539,174$-210Vol: $3,028
🏛️ POLITICS#253,211$3Vol: $939

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-560
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,001
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
41B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
8W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-560
Win Rate
28%
8W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (0.2322938075239032% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$35
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$15
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$7
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$3
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?$2

Top Losers

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$-148
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-130
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$-50
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.427
Sortino
-0.451
HHI
1129
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.431
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.5%
Top-5 markets
58.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.6m
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
27
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.07
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.7%
Mid (20-55c)53.7%
High (>55c)14.6%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 5:01:29 PM5 trades$7090 min
6/22/2026, 12:47:28 AM2 trades$4340 min
7/1/2026, 3:03:07 PM2 trades$3850 min
1/28/2026, 4:05:12 PM1 trades$2530 min
1/28/2026, 12:15:17 AM1 trades$2500 min
2/15/2026, 3:40:37 AM4 trades$1304 min
6/29/2026, 1:55:26 PM4 trades$1082 min
2/15/2026, 8:23:13 AM5 trades$6510 min
2/15/2026, 8:08:47 AM7 trades$617 min
1/25/2026, 9:30:08 AM1 trades$520 min
1/24/2026, 8:08:44 AM1 trades$500 min
2/15/2026, 3:52:39 AM4 trades$422 min
2/15/2026, 8:00:31 AM3 trades$301 min
2/7/2026, 2:46:17 AM1 trades$270 min
2/15/2026, 3:59:39 AM2 trades$200 min
2/7/2026, 2:37:33 AM2 trades$200 min
2/7/2026, 4:04:13 AM1 trades$100 min
2/7/2026, 4:50:31 AM1 trades$100 min
2/7/2026, 5:18:33 AM1 trades$100 min
2/7/2026, 6:41:01 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
01-28
02-07
02-08
02-15
06-22
06-29
07-01
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 157 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.7 / M53.7 / H14.6