@landeater

#3,038,43312

0x76fdbff4188e2ab542ced517018c21f40960af65

~46d· 239 markets · 425 tradesVol: $45,5752026-08-04 18:15:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (58/239)0/20
0.95x (win $3,602 / loss $3,780)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4790/15
Sortino -1.0750/10
$-0.0274 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 424 (239 markets)10/10
11/45 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 708% of peak ($696 / $98)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
94% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,869,887$-4,311Vol: $34,794
🏛️ POLITICS#48,077$174Vol: $6,677
📈 ECONOMICS#676,405$-548Vol: $3,775
🎭 CULTURE#10,738$306Vol: $329

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,379
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,575
Total Redeem
$381
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
239
total markets
Trades
259B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
58W / 181L events
Realized PnL
$-4,379
Win Rate
24%
58W / 181L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$62
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,576 (0.3600069428425916% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$734
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$588
O/U 0.5 Rounds$254
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$225
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$182
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$117
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$87
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$76
UFC Fight Night: Dalby vs. Izagakhmaev (Welterweight, Prelims)$57
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)$51

Top Losers

Maduro out in 2025?$-212
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-200
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$-150
Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia$-111
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-100
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$-100
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-96
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)$-75
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?$-66

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
413
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
35.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.8m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.78
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.7%
Mid (20-55c)74.5%
High (>55c)5.8%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:38:37 PM37 trades$1,2279 min
5/10/2026, 4:50:47 PM7 trades$1,0871 min
7/11/2026, 7:35:10 PM15 trades$1,06510 min
3/10/2026, 8:18:47 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/10/2026, 8:37:58 PM31 trades$6065 min
6/10/2026, 9:23:37 PM18 trades$5902 min
6/16/2026, 9:09:10 PM4 trades$3801 min
2/20/2026, 9:32:26 PM2 trades$3501 min
6/16/2026, 8:32:17 PM2 trades$3330 min
12/5/2025, 10:35:09 AM12 trades$3207 min
6/16/2026, 7:06:47 PM9 trades$2725 min
4/4/2026, 4:55:37 PM18 trades$2655 min
4/25/2026, 8:18:42 PM21 trades$2296 min
5/1/2026, 8:39:38 PM22 trades$2266 min
11/15/2025, 10:27:52 PM8 trades$2159 min
7/3/2026, 9:36:47 PM2 trades$2000 min
11/19/2025, 7:22:13 PM4 trades$1901 min
3/7/2026, 10:48:59 PM10 trades$1806 min
5/7/2026, 8:42:46 PM6 trades$1730 min
11/20/2025, 9:32:47 AM1 trades$1720 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
11-24
03-07
04-08
05-16
06-25
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 111 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.78/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L19.7 / M74.5 / H5.8