@NotAFinancialAdvice
#2,865,821590x772b24e0f05178f7a1da1aee8d5702ac6967b16d
~98d· 149 markets · 2448 tradesVol: $289,0362026-08-04 16:20:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (51/103)9.8/20
1.21x (win $12,775 / loss $10,574)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.89015/15
Sortino 1.42610/10
$+0.0403 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 405 (103 markets)10/10
25/54 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 56% of peak ($2,748 / $4,949)2.9/10
Badges
5Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 17.0 entries/market
Whale
$54,604 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#1,657,084$-2,652Vol: $228,809
🏛️ POLITICS#10,985$2,184Vol: $57,441
🎭 CULTURE#764,878$-55Vol: $2,154
⚽ SPORTS#1,031,826$-2Vol: $11
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-567
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$289,036
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
1409B / 1039S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $216
Month
$-1
Vol: $216
All Time
$-567
Vol: $289,036
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
51W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-567
Win Rate
50%
51W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$250
Avg Loss
$-203
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,410 (11.301064842565495% of PnL)
Top Winners
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4,275
MegaETH FDV above $1.6B one day after launch?$1,401
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?$734
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?$603
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$547
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?$460
Pharos FDV above $1B one day after launch?$459
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?$400
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$395
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$390
Top Losers
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-2,372
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-2,057
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-855
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?$-697
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-649
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-509
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$-434
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$-426
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?$-419
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-320
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.060
HHI
270
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
13.6%
Half-Kelly
6.8%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
29.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 600s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.8 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 9:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.98
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.9%
Mid (20-55c)47.3%
High (>55c)20.8%
Sessions
#123/1/2026, 4:12:01 AM1 trades$5,7780 min
4/7/2026, 10:58:53 PM13 trades$2,5941 min
4/1/2026, 9:53:01 AM52 trades$2,23914 min
4/2/2026, 7:42:27 AM20 trades$2,1845 min
3/17/2026, 4:49:59 PM1 trades$1,3540 min
4/7/2026, 1:06:21 PM5 trades$1,2788 min
4/1/2026, 10:37:51 AM25 trades$1,24010 min
3/2/2026, 4:36:57 AM1 trades$1,2300 min
5/27/2026, 2:45:06 PM12 trades$1,1250 min
3/28/2026, 12:16:31 PM11 trades$96516 min
3/7/2026, 1:34:35 PM3 trades$9280 min
4/1/2026, 8:27:25 PM11 trades$8119 min
3/25/2026, 4:45:53 AM3 trades$8010 min
2/18/2026, 11:19:34 AM5 trades$7883 min
4/10/2026, 3:27:47 AM5 trades$7430 min
3/26/2026, 10:59:19 PM3 trades$7400 min
3/25/2026, 6:28:41 PM4 trades$7210 min
3/7/2026, 3:21:07 AM3 trades$7180 min
4/1/2026, 7:38:35 PM8 trades$7170 min
3/25/2026, 9:16:33 PM4 trades$7020 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-17
03-05
03-25
04-07
04-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.98/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.9 / M47.3 / H20.8