HeyVaro

@HeyVaro

#76,80730

0x7734f02ae405576e0d3eeb59164d8c5f617c4193

~239d· 716 markets · 4462 tradesVol: $830,700 @heyvaro2026-08-04 20:37:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (348/634)12.4/20
0.42x (win $12,236 / loss $29,298)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4420/15
Sortino -1.4570/10
$-0.0505 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 166 (634 markets)10/10
107/174 profitable days (61%)7.9/10
Max DD 2094% of peak ($19,601 / $936)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,100
DCA Master
Avg 7.0 entries/market
Whale
$338,139 invested
Consistent
107/174 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#163,703$26Vol: $331,806
🏛️ POLITICS#24,799$589Vol: $320,162
SPORTS#86,579$205Vol: $68,603
🎭 CULTURE#25,087$72Vol: $45,369
📢 MENTIONS#4,964$139Vol: $33,397
💰 FINANCE#620,382$-53Vol: $15,042
💻 TECH#253,918$-247Vol: $3,424
📈 ECONOMICS#5,256$423Vol: $2,252
🌤️ WEATHER#245,917$-10Vol: $94

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,100
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$830,700
Total Redeem
$2,162
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
716
total markets
Trades
2502B / 1960S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~239d

Periods

#2
Today
$21
Vol: $0
Week
$36
Vol: $0
Month
$66
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,100
Vol: $830,700

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
347W / 286L events
Realized PnL
$1,100
Win Rate
55%
347W / 286L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-162

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,732 (3.3926406021325533% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,498
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,164
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,071
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$867
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?$747
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$648
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$536
Will "Jungle" be said during the IEM Cologne 2026 Grand Finals?$384
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$302
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$279

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-16,193
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-4,555
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-908
Will Google reach $375 in April?$-695
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage$-623
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-588
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-565
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-562
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.00 in May?$-525
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-503

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.075
Sortino
-0.046
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 358s — normal for humanCV 2.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)71.1%

Sessions

#12
11/16/2025, 3:43:29 PM4 trades$8,7033 min
3/24/2026, 5:32:17 AM5 trades$6,8932 min
3/24/2026, 3:17:27 PM2 trades$6,4871 min
1/20/2026, 5:18:26 PM4 trades$6,0544 min
4/29/2026, 9:00:24 PM4 trades$5,9581 min
11/20/2025, 9:51:21 PM3 trades$4,9922 min
3/21/2026, 5:28:35 PM2 trades$4,1251 min
7/20/2026, 5:11:39 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
1/20/2026, 6:45:58 PM3 trades$3,9961 min
1/20/2026, 11:47:18 PM2 trades$3,9963 min
4/28/2026, 12:51:12 PM22 trades$3,74910 min
3/19/2026, 1:41:41 PM3 trades$3,6981 min
3/19/2026, 2:37:33 PM8 trades$3,6987 min
3/18/2026, 7:12:21 PM10 trades$3,6967 min
6/5/2026, 9:43:54 PM22 trades$3,55329 min
4/2/2026, 3:43:15 PM3 trades$3,5040 min
4/3/2026, 1:08:27 AM2 trades$3,5000 min
3/19/2026, 10:35:45 PM1 trades$3,4970 min
3/22/2026, 12:43:45 PM1 trades$3,4970 min
3/20/2026, 1:16:31 AM1 trades$3,4960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
11-27
01-16
03-13
05-01
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M14.7 / H71.1