@southfly

#62,93490

0x773c28b96dac43ea671d840fd98f4f031eb6cc98

~126d· 225 markets · 946 tradesVol: $143,335 @nanfeiye2026-08-04 19:49:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (179/211)20/20
2.33x (win $5,270 / loss $2,261)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.37615/15
Sortino 7.65210/10
$+0.0235 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 766 (211 markets)8.7/10
68/88 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($679 / $3,221)9.8/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+1,546
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Whale
$128,322 invested
Consistent
68/88 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#1,844$2,211Vol: $76,586
🏛️ POLITICS#35,988$299Vol: $22,288
₿ CRYPTO#1,599,256$-608Vol: $18,801
💰 FINANCE#638,389$-146Vol: $18,231
💻 TECH#243,041$-44Vol: $3,976
⚽ SPORTS#213,303$25Vol: $1,592
🎭 CULTURE#77,911$7Vol: $633
🌤️ WEATHER#22,369$10Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#47,309$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,546
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,335
Total Redeem
$915
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
225
total markets
Trades
742B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $140
Week
$23
Vol: $140
Month
$29
Vol: $140
All Time
$1,546
Vol: $143,335

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
179W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$1,546
Win Rate
85%
179W / 32L
Profit Factor
2.33x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,542 (1.6449682319905798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1,059
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$837
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$646
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$417
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$374
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13?$163
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$158
USDT depeg in 2025?$156
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$113
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$106

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 12?$-806
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-211
Will Google reach $335 in April?$-201
Will Google reach $355 in April?$-196
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-182
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-82
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)$-79
Solana Up or Down on September 28?$-79
Solana Up or Down on October 14?$-73
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.219
HHI
1335
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
74.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 408s — normal for humanCV 3.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.2%

Sessions

#12
10/26/2025, 3:12:25 AM1 trades$9,6410 min
10/21/2025, 2:01:17 AM1 trades$8,0470 min
2/24/2026, 10:42:54 AM4 trades$7,4312 min
11/6/2025, 7:01:17 AM2 trades$7,1341 min
10/21/2025, 1:42:23 AM1 trades$6,0000 min
3/1/2026, 1:23:05 AM4 trades$4,6167 min
12/9/2025, 6:51:41 AM2 trades$3,9721 min
12/12/2025, 2:49:10 PM2 trades$3,4061 min
10/29/2025, 11:59:05 AM1 trades$3,1080 min
11/15/2025, 6:38:16 AM2 trades$2,9201 min
4/1/2026, 2:07:07 AM14 trades$2,6740 min
3/2/2026, 9:16:17 AM5 trades$2,5302 min
4/1/2026, 9:28:41 AM12 trades$2,2676 min
4/2/2026, 9:34:07 AM10 trades$2,2060 min
5/9/2026, 1:17:19 AM14 trades$2,0339 min
4/30/2026, 1:18:14 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
12/10/2025, 1:43:44 AM2 trades$1,9920 min
5/1/2026, 12:57:06 PM12 trades$1,9576 min
12/11/2025, 1:10:11 AM2 trades$1,8372 min
12/12/2025, 4:00:14 PM4 trades$1,7735 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-26
10-23
02-12
03-11
04-07
05-14
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M1.2 / H98.2