@0x774f…8779

#2,144,7985

0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779

~102d· 218 markets · 1057 tradesVol: $225,2082026-08-05 17:28:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (39/205)0/20
0.95x (win $2,072 / loss $2,176)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3310/15
Sortino -0.6240/10
$-0.0287 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1865 (205 markets)3.2/10
19/80 profitable days (24%)0/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($841 / $589)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#14,267$195Vol: $174,007
⚽ SPORTS#102,664$142Vol: $41,879
🏛️ POLITICS#193,916$7Vol: $2,227
📈 ECONOMICS#662,340$-113Vol: $2,153
📢 MENTIONS#164,986$-108Vol: $1,693
₿ CRYPTO#1,397,119$-53Vol: $1,155
💰 FINANCE#616,656$-45Vol: $1,129
💻 TECH#244,205$-50Vol: $956

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$225,208
Total Redeem
$439
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
218
total markets
Trades
762B / 295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $357
Week
$-16
Vol: $3,197
Month
$-24
Vol: $3,197
All Time
$-24
Vol: $225,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
39W / 166L events
Realized PnL
$-24
Win Rate
19%
39W / 166L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $821 (33.64903649036491% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?$330
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$264
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$227
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$221
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$212
Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?$175
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$130
Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5$85
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$63
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$55

Top Losers

Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$-151
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5$-147
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-79
Will there be 3+ buzzer beaters during the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?$-73
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$-65
Will Trump say "No No No" during WHCA Dinner events?$-62
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$-61
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5$-56
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$-55
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 474s — normal for humanCV 2.05 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.36
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)7.5%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 12:41:18 PM25 trades$17,5021 min
4/27/2026, 8:25:58 PM2 trades$2,3450 min
5/13/2026, 12:06:27 AM14 trades$7220 min
7/25/2026, 10:31:25 AM9 trades$7010 min
7/3/2026, 10:22:05 AM23 trades$3619 min
3/21/2026, 4:29:35 AM2 trades$2901 min
6/29/2026, 10:04:25 AM17 trades$25811 min
4/25/2026, 10:16:14 PM2 trades$2220 min
4/14/2026, 12:47:11 AM3 trades$2170 min
4/25/2026, 10:09:08 PM3 trades$2100 min
4/13/2026, 12:46:15 AM6 trades$1840 min
4/27/2026, 12:07:36 PM5 trades$1782 min
1/3/2026, 1:56:49 PM1 trades$1710 min
4/23/2026, 7:52:14 AM4 trades$1713 min
1/3/2026, 1:48:53 PM2 trades$1352 min
4/13/2026, 10:12:25 PM15 trades$1212 min
4/8/2026, 1:14:25 PM12 trades$12011 min
4/25/2026, 6:12:04 PM3 trades$1110 min
4/25/2026, 10:30:48 PM5 trades$1080 min
11/2/2025, 1:26:05 AM1 trades$1030 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
12-20
01-13
02-20
03-28
04-25
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.2 / M10.4 / H7.5