@toemat

#2,890,67212

0x7796dae1dbd61f8c4d9a780464c9cde752f0f67c

~39d· 45 markets · 221 tradesVol: $116,9022026-08-04 17:19:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (13/42)0.5/20
0.82x (win $2,238 / loss $2,718)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0950/15
Sortino -1.4820/10
$-0.0908 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 762 (42 markets)8.7/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 253% of peak ($1,133 / $449)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,055$-378Vol: $80,402
💰 FINANCE#645,816$-296Vol: $14,117
🎭 CULTURE#794,224$-196Vol: $12,792
⚽ SPORTS#453,409$1Vol: $7,833
₿ CRYPTO#72,461$161Vol: $1,300
💻 TECH#20,284$8Vol: $308
📢 MENTIONS#125,921$-9Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-710
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,902
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
166B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-710
Vol: $116,902

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
13W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-710
Win Rate
31%
13W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$172
Avg Loss
$-94

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,384 (1.9483183398797708% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1,050
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$172
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$162
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$158
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?$157
Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$150
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$103
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$92
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$72
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?$61

Top Losers

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$-1,110
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?$-355
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?$-123
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$-100
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?$-100
Lightning vs. Canadiens$-100
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-100
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$-70
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$-55

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.068
HHI
871
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.102
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.7%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)17.5%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 8:43:21 PM3 trades$1,0100 min
5/18/2026, 6:04:00 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/5/2026, 1:24:15 AM3 trades$6380 min
5/18/2026, 12:46:17 AM2 trades$4970 min
5/14/2026, 9:10:03 PM9 trades$4000 min
3/24/2026, 8:46:43 PM1 trades$4000 min
5/15/2026, 4:19:24 PM8 trades$3748 min
3/9/2026, 9:33:43 PM1 trades$3660 min
7/2/2026, 4:27:40 PM5 trades$3210 min
4/15/2026, 12:15:10 PM2 trades$3020 min
1/28/2026, 7:15:48 PM1 trades$3000 min
4/12/2026, 6:56:09 PM4 trades$2950 min
4/12/2026, 8:09:45 PM5 trades$2781 min
3/9/2026, 3:34:31 PM1 trades$2500 min
3/11/2026, 6:32:45 PM2 trades$2501 min
3/23/2026, 9:57:25 AM6 trades$2395 min
3/10/2026, 9:55:01 PM10 trades$20612 min
2/28/2026, 7:00:45 PM1 trades$1920 min
3/4/2026, 9:32:17 PM1 trades$1720 min
2/7/2026, 3:49:25 PM1 trades$1680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-08
03-10
03-18
05-01
05-20
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.7 / M19.9 / H17.5