@0x77a5…fccd

#2,386,74768

0x77a592d0380669b42d440b0e04eb365960b8fccd

~21d· 52 markets · 1028 tradesVol: $82,7682026-08-04 18:54:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (22/51)6.6/20
1.78x (win $444 / loss $249)12.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.46615/15
Sortino 11.75410/10
$+0.0941 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 1499 (51 markets)5/10
10/18 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($64 / $208)7.8/10

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#764,901$-55Vol: $82,703
🏛️ POLITICS#629,529$-0Vol: $65

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,768
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
454B / 574S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-55
Vol: $82,768

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
22W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-55
Win Rate
43%
22W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $341 (6.160578661844486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$155
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$95
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$91
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-54
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-47
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$-15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-14
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$-11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-8
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.227
Sortino
0.502
HHI
745
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.2%
Top-5 markets
46.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.6m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 101s — normal for humanCV 2.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity28 trades/day — high frequency1.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)68.1%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 7:50:01 AM15 trades$2,6692 min
6/22/2026, 3:32:29 PM97 trades$2,14237 min
6/19/2026, 3:31:07 PM57 trades$2,04427 min
5/29/2026, 8:19:11 AM19 trades$1,0483 min
6/16/2026, 1:41:56 PM114 trades$1,03145 min
6/16/2026, 3:25:04 PM4 trades$4201 min
6/19/2026, 2:45:17 PM13 trades$31810 min
6/9/2026, 3:28:22 PM60 trades$2748 min
6/12/2026, 3:24:57 PM32 trades$24119 min
6/15/2026, 2:36:06 PM29 trades$16210 min
6/14/2026, 10:03:09 PM14 trades$1555 min
6/15/2026, 3:34:49 PM26 trades$15110 min
6/15/2026, 9:11:06 PM54 trades$1408 min
6/19/2026, 3:02:04 PM19 trades$13711 min
6/12/2026, 2:12:13 PM45 trades$13414 min
6/22/2026, 3:03:22 PM31 trades$11116 min
6/24/2026, 1:02:26 AM10 trades$1023 min
6/16/2026, 3:10:01 PM4 trades$913 min
6/22/2026, 2:33:44 PM20 trades$8415 min
6/22/2026, 7:26:46 PM2 trades$750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
06-11
06-14
06-18
06-23
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.8 / M14.1 / H68.1