@bulbnbob
#20,492540x77b5acecbc67d1bef9b63ab6ff3dc886ef809170
~216d· 9127 markets · 226157 tradesVol: $3,882,4782026-08-04 20:45:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (4237/8859)8.9/20
1.03x (win $28,663 / loss $27,733)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79114.8/15
Sortino 1.12010/10
$+0.0080 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 6 (8859 markets)10/10
110/212 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 63% of peak ($1,440 / $2,272)1.3/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+6,570
Diamond Hands
6% sells
Whale
$115,921 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🌤️ WEATHER#855$2,266Vol: $1,102,543
⚽ SPORTS#11,648$3,877Vol: $800,279
🎭 CULTURE#803,853$-409Vol: $675,505
🏛️ POLITICS#21,561$748Vol: $630,299
💰 FINANCE#22,744$65Vol: $328,899
📈 ECONOMICS#665,430$-149Vol: $169,755
₿ CRYPTO#1,497,058$-125Vol: $100,768
💻 TECH#241,771$-38Vol: $19,865
📢 MENTIONS#15,593$17Vol: $811
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6,570
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,882,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9127
total markets
Trades
10181B / 12660S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$6,570
Vol: $3,882,478
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
13454W / 6201L events
Realized PnL
$6,570
Win Rate
68%
13454W / 6201L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $914 (0.13918135420107372% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$378
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$341
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?$196
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$149
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?$146
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$141
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?$130
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$129
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$129
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$111
Top Losers
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-636
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-586
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-177
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-174
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$-168
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$-165
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$-163
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-160
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$-160
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$-155
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.048
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
816.5
Very active
Markets / Day
32.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
23 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.3
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 298s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock816 trades/day — automation33 markets/day — mass coverage10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.57
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.3%
High (>55c)70.4%
Sessions
#122/8/2026, 9:26:53 PM30 trades$60031 min
2/8/2026, 5:12:23 PM38 trades$56769 min
2/8/2026, 11:29:51 PM27 trades$49838 min
2/8/2026, 4:02:45 PM32 trades$42451 min
3/14/2026, 6:36:59 AM25 trades$40538 min
4/3/2026, 4:00:31 PM14 trades$40215 min
2/8/2026, 8:42:33 PM18 trades$37529 min
3/31/2026, 5:41:05 AM25 trades$36333 min
1/23/2026, 5:07:36 PM16 trades$35224 min
2/17/2026, 5:02:41 PM27 trades$35131 min
4/1/2026, 5:13:17 AM40 trades$34862 min
4/3/2026, 5:48:35 AM55 trades$33533 min
3/12/2026, 6:36:43 AM16 trades$29223 min
3/14/2026, 5:49:01 PM19 trades$27931 min
3/31/2026, 3:06:43 PM22 trades$27832 min
2/8/2026, 7:54:17 PM16 trades$27130 min
4/1/2026, 1:25:31 AM21 trades$25828 min
4/1/2026, 9:34:31 AM19 trades$25630 min
1/27/2026, 7:24:11 AM7 trades$25612 min
1/19/2026, 4:40:48 AM12 trades$25313 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-09
11-14
12-19
01-23
02-27
04-03
07-10
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 100 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.3 / M20.3 / H70.4