Varoque

@Varoque

#75,68665

0x77ba949d7a9e34b8005d62d33b6803e911ee9ed8

~141d· 1310 markets · 6230 tradesVol: $934,1522026-08-04 18:55:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (1085/1310)20/20
1.12x (win $6,063 / loss $5,397)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68712.9/15
Sortino 0.7657.7/10
$+0.0018 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 178 (1310 markets)10/10
112/136 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($1,333 / $962)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+1,130
Whale
$367,662 invested
Consistent
112/136 profitable days
High Roller
$1,726/day
Win Streak
36 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#1,699$940Vol: $802,969
🏛️ POLITICS#1,559,204$-192Vol: $99,278
CRYPTO#59,346$245Vol: $25,908
SPORTS#1,543,080$-35Vol: $4,778
🎭 CULTURE#56,347$15Vol: $501
📈 ECONOMICS#225,361$0Vol: $20
💰 FINANCE#213,413$0Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$934,152
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1310
total markets
Trades
4669B / 1561S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~141d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $2,414
Week
$18
Vol: $8,073
Month
$68
Vol: $12,086
All Time
$1,130
Vol: $934,152

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
1085W / 225L events
Realized PnL
$1,130
Win Rate
83%
1085W / 225L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $926 (0.8198317839752104% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 11?$440
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 14?$248
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$237
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15?$165
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?$156
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 11?$147
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$116
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$110
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$54

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 11?$-1,965
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-423
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 22?$-234
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on June 17?$-144
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$-41
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.018
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.2
Active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.8m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 135s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency6.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)87.6%

Sessions

#12
2/26/2026, 5:22:18 AM1 trades$6,1630 min
2/26/2026, 6:37:00 AM1 trades$6,0590 min
2/26/2026, 8:30:28 AM1 trades$6,0590 min
6/15/2026, 1:58:46 PM9 trades$6,0025 min
2/27/2026, 6:09:17 PM1 trades$5,9830 min
2/27/2026, 6:42:37 PM1 trades$5,9830 min
2/28/2026, 3:35:45 AM1 trades$5,9830 min
2/27/2026, 5:57:59 PM1 trades$5,9120 min
2/27/2026, 11:42:07 AM1 trades$5,8170 min
2/27/2026, 11:31:29 AM1 trades$5,7480 min
2/26/2026, 9:51:04 AM1 trades$5,7400 min
2/27/2026, 1:10:25 PM1 trades$5,3300 min
2/27/2026, 12:20:01 PM3 trades$5,2651 min
6/19/2026, 5:12:47 AM87 trades$5,22310 min
6/8/2026, 3:13:36 PM13 trades$4,8971 min
6/19/2026, 4:33:17 AM46 trades$4,81625 min
6/14/2026, 9:23:00 AM13 trades$4,77211 min
3/30/2026, 7:18:45 PM7 trades$4,6753 min
4/2/2026, 8:33:57 AM29 trades$4,33014 min
6/7/2026, 7:20:45 PM12 trades$4,1951 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-24
02-20
04-25
06-04
06-26
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.76/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M10.9 / H87.6