Dannyleslie

@Dannyleslie

#2,860,21980

0x77c292e9a4bda6c721f5d8974efa192d3e12c378

~38d· 138 markets · 251 tradesVol: $85,4702026-08-05 02:44:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (118/138)20/20
1.66x (win $1,173 / loss $708)10.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.73515/15
Sortino 12.31310/10
$+0.0438 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 877 (138 markets)8.1/10
26/36 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 48% of peak ($224 / $465)4.4/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
26/36 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#1,617,201$-975Vol: $63,349
⚽ SPORTS#64,756$378Vol: $17,593
💰 FINANCE#17,150$111Vol: $3,032
📈 ECONOMICS#643,255$-40Vol: $1,023
🎭 CULTURE#706,964$-14Vol: $397
🏛️ POLITICS#402,848$0Vol: $75
💻 TECH#124,635$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-540
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,470
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
138
total markets
Trades
144B / 107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-540
Vol: $85,470

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
118W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-540
Win Rate
86%
118W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.66x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $554 (1.0267936554995554% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$381
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$93
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$81
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$80
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?$71
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$56
Spread: Spain (-3.5)$51
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $510 in June?$41
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$39
Will England win on 2026-06-27?$31

Top Losers

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$-95
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-89
Solana Up or Down - December 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-83
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$-75
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$-66
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$-52
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?$-48
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$-40
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$-34
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.193
Sortino
0.437
HHI
1161
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.7%
Top-5 markets
63.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1624s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.01
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)5.6%
High (>55c)90.3%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 3:20:56 PM10 trades$1,8805 min
6/14/2026, 2:13:55 PM8 trades$9960 min
5/20/2026, 11:43:46 PM10 trades$9830 min
7/6/2026, 3:58:20 AM8 trades$8540 min
6/14/2026, 3:44:18 PM12 trades$7814 min
7/5/2026, 10:33:07 PM2 trades$5050 min
7/4/2026, 11:19:52 PM2 trades$5020 min
12/8/2025, 7:54:41 AM5 trades$3234 min
6/24/2026, 11:50:46 AM4 trades$2830 min
6/23/2026, 2:50:32 AM4 trades$2400 min
12/8/2025, 12:57:13 PM4 trades$2293 min
6/21/2026, 11:59:26 PM4 trades$2270 min
6/21/2026, 10:17:11 AM6 trades$2271 min
6/27/2026, 9:32:26 AM4 trades$2080 min
11/10/2025, 3:54:13 AM2 trades$1900 min
6/14/2026, 11:30:49 PM3 trades$1730 min
7/3/2026, 8:15:13 AM11 trades$1620 min
6/20/2026, 12:13:49 PM7 trades$1271 min
12/8/2025, 7:26:05 AM2 trades$1252 min
12/8/2025, 3:12:13 AM3 trades$1122 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
08-02
11-23
12-07
06-18
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 162 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.01/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M5.6 / H90.3