@Donned

#2,794,43128

0x77d60931bac40d02c9b77928a8acbbbf8c2ec7bb

~12d· 20 markets · 84 tradesVol: $25,5942026-08-04 22:09:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (9/17)11.5/20
0.36x (win $235 / loss $645)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4440/15
Sortino -6.3450/10
$-0.0792 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 728 (17 markets)8.9/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 352% of peak ($573 / $163)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#109,737$33Vol: $21,482
SPORTS#1,778,798$-360Vol: $4,112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-327
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,594
Total Redeem
$1,435
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
48B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Month
$17
Vol: $7,296
All Time
$-327
Vol: $25,594

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
9W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-327
Win Rate
53%
9W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-108

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129 (0.3947432762836186% of PnL)

Top Winners

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by June 30, 2026?$48
Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)$45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?$36
Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-2.5)$32
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)$24
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)$20
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$17
Spread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)$8
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30$5

Top Losers

Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in June 2026?$-233
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$-150
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?$-96
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$-81
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)$-67
Spread: Tala'ea El Gaish SC (-2.5)$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.320
Sortino
-0.322
HHI
751
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.085
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
47.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1908s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)43.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)56.2%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 6:51:39 AM4 trades$9201 min
8/1/2026, 4:46:29 AM3 trades$9200 min
7/16/2026, 8:06:37 AM3 trades$8800 min
7/16/2026, 6:49:58 AM3 trades$8700 min
6/28/2026, 6:31:01 AM9 trades$8183 min
6/28/2026, 5:07:11 AM4 trades$8000 min
6/17/2026, 7:39:55 AM4 trades$5551 min
8/1/2026, 3:13:30 AM3 trades$5010 min
4/27/2026, 8:10:00 AM2 trades$4540 min
4/27/2026, 6:14:58 AM2 trades$4360 min
4/27/2026, 6:46:46 AM1 trades$4310 min
5/9/2026, 5:06:44 AM2 trades$4300 min
5/9/2026, 6:52:33 AM2 trades$4300 min
5/9/2026, 6:24:04 AM4 trades$4183 min
4/15/2026, 5:05:56 AM2 trades$3650 min
4/15/2026, 7:31:56 AM2 trades$3650 min
4/11/2026, 5:56:39 AM2 trades$3550 min
4/12/2026, 3:17:37 AM2 trades$3470 min
4/15/2026, 8:25:26 AM2 trades$3390 min
4/11/2026, 8:11:11 AM2 trades$3290 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-11
04-12
04-15
04-27
05-07
05-08
05-09
06-17
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L43.8 / M0 / H56.2