@dillonsteven

#623,05441

0x783b63986418db72ab124a2204b3ac6e0c483583

~32d· 56 markets · 122 tradesVol: $9,2212026-08-04 23:13:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (21/56)3.8/20
1.25x (win $20 / loss $16)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.80315/15
Sortino 1.33610/10
$+0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1912 (56 markets)2.9/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($11 / $13)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+3
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#356,439$4Vol: $5,085
🎭 CULTURE#576,907$-2Vol: $4,006
💰 FINANCE#133,325$1Vol: $75
CRYPTO#514,624$0Vol: $50
🏛️ POLITICS#530,997$0Vol: $3
🌤️ WEATHER#143,081$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,221
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
75B / 47S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$3
Vol: $9,221

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
21W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
38%
21W / 35L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19 (6.190635451505017% of PnL)

Top Winners

Eagles vs. Commanders$13
Raptors vs. Knicks$3
Will Amazon reach $296 in April?$2
Bruins vs. Oilers$0
76ers vs. Cavaliers$0
Spurs vs. Knicks$0
Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$0
Will Solana dip to $120 in October?$0
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28?$0
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$0

Top Losers

Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21?$-10
Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference?$-1
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?$-1
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Will Manchester United win the UEFA Europa League?$-0
Senators vs. Flames$-0
Packers vs. Vikings$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.033
HHI
1861
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
35.6%
Half-Kelly
17.8%
Top-1 market
30.5%
Top-5 markets
91.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 470s — normal for humanCV 3.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)38.7%
High (>55c)57.3%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2025, 11:54:27 AM1 trades$6680 min
4/8/2025, 1:37:04 PM1 trades$6680 min
4/8/2025, 7:45:51 AM1 trades$6660 min
4/8/2025, 9:18:05 AM1 trades$6650 min
4/8/2025, 2:00:08 PM1 trades$6650 min
4/8/2025, 2:46:10 PM1 trades$6640 min
4/8/2025, 5:23:46 PM1 trades$6640 min
4/8/2025, 6:15:30 PM1 trades$6630 min
4/8/2025, 3:40:50 PM1 trades$6630 min
4/8/2025, 4:23:52 PM1 trades$6620 min
4/8/2025, 10:51:19 AM1 trades$6600 min
4/8/2025, 11:43:07 AM1 trades$6590 min
12/21/2024, 7:34:36 PM3 trades$421 min
12/23/2024, 10:45:02 AM3 trades$392 min
12/22/2024, 8:40:28 PM3 trades$371 min
7/24/2026, 12:21:12 AM2 trades$370 min
12/21/2024, 4:00:00 AM2 trades$262 min
12/23/2024, 9:54:28 PM2 trades$252 min
12/19/2024, 8:00:42 PM2 trades$224 min
12/23/2024, 10:53:48 PM2 trades$211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
12-24
01-12
02-06
04-17
07-27
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 109 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M38.7 / H57.3