@0x78b3…6dda

#2,405,20832

0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda

~68d· 446 markets · 1646 tradesVol: $10,5622026-08-04 22:10:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

78% (271/349)20/20
0.33x (win $370 / loss $1,123)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3950/15
Sortino -4.3570/10
$-0.2583 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 495 (349 markets)10/10
21/54 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 96629% of peak ($754 / $1)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 78%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#1,119,037$-9Vol: $3,594
📈 ECONOMICS#566,176$-5Vol: $2,518
🏛️ POLITICS#1,503,810$-81Vol: $2,414
🎭 CULTURE#67,916$10Vol: $730
💰 FINANCE#31,093$35Vol: $680
⚽ SPORTS#1,332,161$-10Vol: $557
💻 TECH#204,406$-2Vol: $36
🌤️ WEATHER#181,588$-1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,562
Total Redeem
$253
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
446
total markets
Trades
860B / 786S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $24
Month
$-5
Vol: $26
All Time
$-59
Vol: $10,562

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
78%
271W / 78L events
Realized PnL
$-59
Win Rate
78%
271W / 78L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $124 (2.10069503305645% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 22?$77
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$28
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$18
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$17
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$16
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$13
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?$9

Top Losers

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-253
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-223
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-83
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-72
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-68
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$-36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 29?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.228
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.278
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.99
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)83.6%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 9:50:06 AM34 trades$71316 min
5/26/2026, 9:42:20 AM5 trades$2050 min
3/14/2026, 10:37:35 PM10 trades$2000 min
5/1/2026, 9:42:48 AM8 trades$1693 min
3/14/2026, 10:49:19 PM7 trades$1541 min
6/8/2026, 3:13:33 PM6 trades$1482 min
6/12/2026, 11:36:45 AM5 trades$1301 min
5/23/2026, 10:17:50 PM2 trades$1200 min
6/26/2026, 3:59:23 PM2 trades$1150 min
6/15/2026, 1:11:27 PM2 trades$1070 min
6/14/2026, 9:17:09 PM28 trades$1051 min
4/8/2026, 3:27:37 PM10 trades$963 min
6/11/2026, 12:50:57 PM2 trades$940 min
6/12/2026, 11:29:30 AM2 trades$940 min
5/23/2026, 10:12:39 PM7 trades$930 min
6/26/2026, 8:02:28 PM41 trades$929 min
5/1/2026, 10:14:32 AM4 trades$870 min
6/16/2026, 9:18:22 PM9 trades$791 min
6/23/2026, 12:33:59 PM8 trades$791 min
5/1/2026, 10:40:04 AM2 trades$770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
04-12
04-29
05-13
06-17
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.99/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M9.9 / H83.6