@0x78d8…cffc

38

0x78d8b8649cdcf440fd6d90f1649bc079bcbccffc

~108d· 451 markets · 1302 trades2026-08-03 17:37:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (303/451)18.6/20
0.89x (win $10,132 / loss $11,393)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6810/15
Sortino -0.7040/10
$-0.0305 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 131 (451 markets)10/10
68/107 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 237% of peak ($3,671 / $1,550)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
68/107 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,311
Total Redeem
$3,707
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
451
total markets
Trades
527B / 775S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
303W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$-1,128
Win Rate
67%
303W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-82

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $825 (0.7315693333569794% of PnL)

Top Winners

Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 4.5$309
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?$278
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff$239
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?$236
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5$201
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)$191
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5$179
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$162
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev$154
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score$151

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-3,080
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$-500
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-02?$-434
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5$-314
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?$-245
Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$-210
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-130

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.023
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
17.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 610s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal2.4 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.89
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)72.1%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 1:33:11 PM144 trades$2,8862 min
2/28/2026, 7:08:49 PM3 trades$2,4687 min
3/23/2026, 9:01:17 PM2 trades$1,5821 min
3/23/2026, 8:29:55 PM4 trades$1,53511 min
3/30/2026, 7:15:55 PM1 trades$1,5070 min
3/28/2026, 7:33:42 PM1 trades$1,4670 min
4/1/2026, 1:19:31 PM53 trades$1,4566 min
3/21/2026, 7:12:05 PM2 trades$1,4112 min
3/12/2026, 9:33:41 PM2 trades$1,3054 min
3/15/2026, 3:55:33 PM5 trades$1,2606 min
3/21/2026, 4:56:21 PM1 trades$1,1540 min
3/21/2026, 5:22:49 PM2 trades$1,1542 min
3/21/2026, 4:36:17 PM1 trades$1,1360 min
3/15/2026, 8:07:03 PM1 trades$9720 min
3/15/2026, 2:45:19 PM2 trades$9571 min
3/21/2026, 4:04:27 PM5 trades$9132 min
3/30/2026, 6:12:31 PM5 trades$82111 min
3/13/2026, 7:01:49 PM1 trades$8180 min
3/13/2026, 7:10:01 PM1 trades$8180 min
3/14/2026, 9:17:17 PM1 trades$7650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
02-24
03-19
04-06
04-27
05-15
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M26.2 / H72.1