@0x3Ce45f…1777

#2,766,4798

0x78e07929e495d38e2aaf7380cf81dfc7f180cd33

~10d· 18 markets · 49 tradesVol: $2,7892026-08-04 23:27:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (3/17)0/20
0.25x (win $205 / loss $805)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5450/15
Sortino -8.7780/10
$-0.6237 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 887 (17 markets)8.1/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1443% of peak ($645 / $45)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,762,289$-276Vol: $2,789

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-276
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,789
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
20B / 29S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
3W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-276
Win Rate
18%
3W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$68
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $205 (0.7417918552036199% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?$110
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$70
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?$25

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-400
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?$-220
Deniz Undav: 3+ shots$-30
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 IR Iran?$-30
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?$-25
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?$-20
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in First Half$-20
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$-20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-20
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.467
Sortino
-0.488
HHI
1374
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.605
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.8%
Top-5 markets
72.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 363s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.76
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)30%
High (>55c)30%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 11:14:10 PM2 trades$3040 min
6/22/2026, 2:48:11 AM4 trades$2680 min
7/16/2026, 6:57:22 PM4 trades$2631 min
6/22/2026, 2:42:08 AM2 trades$2500 min
6/21/2026, 3:29:53 PM8 trades$2393 min
6/25/2026, 7:41:34 PM7 trades$2164 min
6/23/2026, 1:45:17 AM2 trades$1900 min
6/27/2026, 12:21:08 AM5 trades$1790 min
6/24/2026, 3:50:17 AM2 trades$1350 min
6/25/2026, 9:06:37 PM3 trades$1120 min
7/16/2026, 7:20:13 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/19/2026, 9:43:39 PM6 trades$770 min
6/26/2026, 3:01:17 AM2 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.76/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L40 / M30 / H30