@0x78e7a8…9250

#50,7600

0x78e7a8a4dfa99af9a18b9def96672feb83db2c77

~13d· 17 markets · 338 tradesVol: $1,066,6382026-08-04 19:48:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (2/11)0/20
0.19x (win $2,875 / loss $14,971)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.5632 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2419 (11 markets)0.4/10
1/6 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 1508% of peak ($12,955 / $859)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,794
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#10,477$2,357Vol: $604,954
📈 ECONOMICS#677,038$-624Vol: $412,915
⚽ SPORTS#68,091$339Vol: $48,768

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,071
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,066,638
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
88B / 250S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$426
Vol: $0
Week
$301
Vol: $31,118
Month
$116
Vol: $31,118
All Time
$2,071
Vol: $1,066,638

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$1,794
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$1,438
Avg Loss
$-1,871

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,875 (1.6024867913592082% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,977
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$899

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-11,239
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,523
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-927
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-695
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-310
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?$-209
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.421
Sortino
-0.357
HHI
1301
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.714
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.5%
Top-5 markets
68.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.3m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.45
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.5%
High (>55c)6.8%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 5:25:53 PM18 trades$276,3746 min
6/17/2026, 8:05:19 PM35 trades$156,9535 min
6/15/2026, 4:51:52 PM3 trades$155,0000 min
6/17/2026, 9:05:29 AM21 trades$36,1470 min
8/2/2026, 7:30:27 AM21 trades$28,3891 min
6/17/2026, 7:30:10 PM7 trades$20,5040 min
7/20/2026, 8:06:19 AM20 trades$12,0821 min
7/11/2026, 8:24:11 AM54 trades$10,5592 min
5/23/2026, 6:38:15 PM16 trades$4,4010 min
5/22/2026, 6:25:11 PM2 trades$2,6060 min
5/19/2026, 8:27:59 AM4 trades$2,4981 min
6/14/2026, 4:18:10 PM15 trades$2,4171 min
7/6/2026, 12:04:16 PM34 trades$2,21212 min
7/6/2026, 2:13:34 PM15 trades$2,1794 min
5/21/2026, 5:29:10 PM2 trades$1,6000 min
6/11/2026, 9:07:48 PM7 trades$1,3740 min
6/14/2026, 12:15:09 PM5 trades$1,2700 min
6/13/2026, 6:56:22 PM7 trades$1,1380 min
7/6/2026, 1:20:20 PM12 trades$1,0311 min
6/15/2026, 5:21:54 PM4 trades$1,0260 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-17
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.6 / M4.5 / H6.8