@Laurenz02

#458,74322

0x78f7c355821839bb12a6658e223154c4cd241e45

~21d· 211 markets · 791 tradesVol: $4,0252026-08-05 17:40:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (123/211)14.1/20
0.81x (win $339 / loss $418)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5710/15
Sortino -4.3080/10
$-0.1072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1427 (211 markets)5.4/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 477% of peak ($101 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+14
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#997,102$-4Vol: $2,683
⚽ SPORTS#221,798$22Vol: $1,004
💻 TECH#186,907$-1Vol: $283
📢 MENTIONS#108,858$-4Vol: $33
🌤️ WEATHER#85,113$0Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,025
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
211
total markets
Trades
382B / 409S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$14
Vol: $4,025

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
123W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$14
Win Rate
58%
123W / 88L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $72 (5.196947674418605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$40
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$17
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$11
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$9
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$8
Mexico to score first vs. Korea Republic?$8
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$7
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$7

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-53
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-10
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-10
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
120
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.100
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.7
Active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 254s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency10 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)21.2%
High (>55c)76.2%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 2:54:37 PM18 trades$1,1229 min
6/14/2026, 9:46:09 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/21/2026, 1:57:02 AM6 trades$442 min
6/16/2026, 10:39:10 AM25 trades$4022 min
6/28/2026, 2:01:23 AM4 trades$363 min
6/15/2026, 8:01:24 AM26 trades$3514 min
6/22/2026, 7:33:11 PM2 trades$350 min
6/18/2026, 10:03:52 PM8 trades$341 min
6/17/2026, 9:29:08 AM25 trades$3118 min
6/15/2026, 3:40:19 PM23 trades$3118 min
6/16/2026, 9:10:56 PM6 trades$291 min
6/18/2026, 2:22:29 PM16 trades$2721 min
6/17/2026, 8:40:32 AM24 trades$2311 min
6/15/2026, 2:30:12 PM13 trades$235 min
6/17/2026, 8:05:44 AM16 trades$2312 min
6/17/2026, 2:51:26 PM16 trades$2214 min
6/18/2026, 9:55:10 PM4 trades$200 min
6/20/2026, 12:29:40 PM4 trades$200 min
6/18/2026, 9:01:04 PM4 trades$190 min
6/24/2026, 3:16:37 PM4 trades$181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-17
06-20
06-23
06-26
06-29
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.6 / M21.2 / H76.2