@rottenapples
#37,775770x7926492b3f086db8ff8e349d1037bea1650c1e34
~24d· 21 markets · 125 tradesVol: $27,5382026-08-04 22:48:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (11/20)12.5/20
2.26x (win $2,326 / loss $1,030)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.46215/15
Sortino 18.79310/10
$+0.1439 per $1 invested7.2/10
HHI 1764 (20 markets)3.7/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($434 / $1,357)7.6/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+3,020
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#11,776$1,966Vol: $15,344
⚽ SPORTS#1,705,730$-130Vol: $5,588
📈 ECONOMICS#4,252$589Vol: $4,304
💰 FINANCE#5,807$620Vol: $2,262
₿ CRYPTO#1,297,650$-25Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,020
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,538
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
30B / 95S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
11W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$3,020
Win Rate
55%
11W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.26x
Avg Win
$211
Avg Loss
$-114
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,323 (0.43810217528060125% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$638
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$351
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$334
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$240
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$213
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$206
Will Al Carns be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$113
Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?$108
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$99
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$20
Top Losers
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-238
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?$-200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-200
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-147
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?$-100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-25
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$-18
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.375
Sortino
1.013
HHI
1382
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
15.5%
Half-Kelly
7.8%
Top-1 market
28.2%
Top-5 markets
71.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 566s — normal for humanCV 0.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)40%
High (>55c)53.3%
Sessions
#125/17/2026, 8:44:34 AM7 trades$2,4851 min
6/19/2026, 9:52:44 AM17 trades$2,2152 min
4/1/2026, 10:27:53 PM2 trades$1,5440 min
5/16/2026, 6:52:06 PM17 trades$1,4452 min
7/15/2026, 3:39:37 PM10 trades$1,3620 min
6/23/2026, 5:34:13 AM6 trades$1,0270 min
6/28/2026, 1:40:16 PM10 trades$8960 min
6/22/2026, 6:14:32 AM6 trades$6720 min
4/12/2026, 7:04:17 PM2 trades$6260 min
6/23/2026, 6:29:11 AM7 trades$5890 min
2/28/2026, 7:41:55 AM1 trades$4340 min
2/6/2026, 10:28:09 PM1 trades$4280 min
5/30/2026, 4:30:55 PM5 trades$4171 min
1/31/2026, 3:42:46 PM2 trades$4020 min
2/9/2026, 12:40:19 PM1 trades$3500 min
1/20/2026, 10:03:38 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/20/2026, 10:11:16 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/23/2026, 8:44:56 PM1 trades$3000 min
5/3/2026, 4:10:10 PM2 trades$2410 min
5/3/2026, 4:22:30 PM4 trades$2170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-11
02-28
05-03
05-30
06-23
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M40 / H53.3