@LutherElsie

#2,175,72835

0x79d2b413258e4af45359e18c581e8f45493fd80c

~69d· 120 markets · 260 tradesVol: $20,3782026-08-04 19:48:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (66/104)16.7/20
0.68x (win $40 / loss $59)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1840/15
Sortino -2.5380/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 170 (104 markets)10/10
42/68 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 480% of peak ($30 / $6)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Consistent
42/68 profitable days
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#210,993$14Vol: $7,745
🏛️ POLITICS#1,189,748$-6Vol: $4,661
SPORTS#1,514,427$-28Vol: $4,044
🎭 CULTURE#145,375$1Vol: $2,681
💰 FINANCE#119,345$1Vol: $851
🌤️ WEATHER#81,325$0Vol: $254
📈 ECONOMICS#197,188$0Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,378
Total Redeem
$1,148
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
120
total markets
Trades
145B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-27
Vol: $20,378

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
66W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
63%
66W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (0.5585951940850277% of PnL)

Top Winners

St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres$6
Blackhawks vs. Islanders$5
T20 Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka, Women: West Indies vs Sri Lanka$4
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?$4
ELH: Karlovy Vary vs. Liberec$3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?$1
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 4 2026?$1

Top Losers

Rome: Andrea Vavassori vs Pol Martin Tiffon$-10
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs$-7
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$-6
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals$-5
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungelliti$-5
DEL: EHC Red Bull Muenchen vs. Grizzlys Wolfsburg$-5
Valorant: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Playoffs$-5
BNP Paribas Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Jasmine Paolini$-3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$-3
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.114
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1058s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.51
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.9%
High (>55c)84.8%

Sessions

#12
3/29/2026, 5:46:10 AM2 trades$2771 min
3/31/2026, 11:34:11 AM2 trades$2742 min
3/8/2026, 12:07:19 PM3 trades$2703 min
3/24/2026, 9:15:27 AM2 trades$2662 min
3/17/2026, 5:28:19 AM2 trades$2661 min
3/20/2026, 12:07:55 PM2 trades$2651 min
3/20/2026, 12:26:13 PM2 trades$2654 min
4/6/2026, 5:59:55 AM4 trades$2650 min
4/2/2026, 11:03:41 AM2 trades$2640 min
4/21/2026, 6:45:32 AM5 trades$2592 min
5/12/2026, 10:02:55 AM2 trades$2520 min
5/4/2026, 9:32:50 AM5 trades$2440 min
4/25/2026, 12:08:14 PM2 trades$2420 min
4/30/2026, 9:30:16 AM2 trades$2420 min
5/3/2026, 3:51:56 AM2 trades$2420 min
5/17/2026, 5:50:37 AM2 trades$2400 min
5/7/2026, 7:30:34 AM6 trades$2406 min
5/9/2026, 8:26:56 AM2 trades$2360 min
5/16/2026, 5:17:41 AM4 trades$2293 min
5/20/2026, 3:46:45 AM4 trades$2251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
03-08
03-24
04-07
05-01
05-12
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.51/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.3 / M6.9 / H84.8