@vieuxtemps
#141,154790x7a1630b1f839e4423f437dd2a8e2164194ce518b
~171d· 152 markets · 704 tradesVol: $15,2462026-08-05 00:13:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (71/123)13.9/20
1.61x (win $852 / loss $528)10.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.81715/15
Sortino 5.23910/10
$+0.0851 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 218 (123 markets)10/10
53/90 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($112 / $435)8.9/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+321
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
6📈 ECONOMICS#5,962$344Vol: $9,767
🏛️ POLITICS#111,680$31Vol: $3,623
🎭 CULTURE#755,400$-42Vol: $1,520
💰 FINANCE#579,174$-12Vol: $260
⚽ SPORTS#334,925$5Vol: $61
📢 MENTIONS#111,824$-5Vol: $15
Overview
#1Net PnL
$321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,246
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
355B / 349S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~171d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $54
Week
$-4
Vol: $127
Month
$-19
Vol: $127
All Time
$321
Vol: $15,246
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
71W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$321
Win Rate
58%
71W / 52L
Profit Factor
1.61x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (0.7873679618608419% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?$140
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$63
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?$50
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?$49
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0% and 0.3%?$47
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$44
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the February Meeting?$38
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$31
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?$24
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.3% and 0.6%?$23
Top Losers
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?$-47
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-41
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-40
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$-40
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?$-37
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-29
26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?$-24
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?$-20
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$-19
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?$-16
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.147
Sortino
0.215
HHI
97
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.122
Kelly %
3.9%
Half-Kelly
1.9%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
14.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1916s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.15
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.4%
Mid (20-55c)46.5%
High (>55c)41.1%
Sessions
#125/3/2026, 8:55:32 PM15 trades$1749 min
4/16/2026, 6:03:50 AM25 trades$1711 min
7/16/2026, 1:48:46 PM8 trades$1381 min
5/7/2026, 12:17:45 PM11 trades$1291 min
5/8/2026, 8:50:42 AM11 trades$1141 min
4/1/2026, 9:57:41 AM19 trades$1083 min
7/26/2026, 1:52:12 PM7 trades$1043 min
5/6/2026, 11:57:38 AM8 trades$1022 min
7/29/2026, 1:31:29 AM2 trades$1000 min
4/29/2026, 8:33:30 AM1 trades$960 min
7/31/2026, 12:54:20 PM7 trades$911 min
5/28/2026, 2:47:22 PM6 trades$833 min
5/27/2026, 11:27:53 AM4 trades$733 min
4/22/2026, 8:29:22 AM6 trades$731 min
6/19/2026, 8:15:53 PM4 trades$731 min
7/17/2026, 10:08:18 AM13 trades$662 min
5/28/2026, 9:19:59 PM3 trades$640 min
7/30/2026, 2:05:08 PM6 trades$645 min
2/26/2026, 12:15:28 AM4 trades$603 min
7/24/2026, 2:27:13 PM5 trades$571 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
10-02
01-05
02-01
02-28
04-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 49 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.4 / M46.5 / H41.1