@stolto222

#431,85856

0x7a1ecdc1f90b9f030d6924aaba7a63a0c7378dad

~39d· 117 markets · 437 tradesVol: $20,1212026-08-05 04:18:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (56/116)9.1/20
1.29x (win $1,060 / loss $822)6.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.72215/15
Sortino 4.28410/10
$+0.1016 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 1312 (116 markets)5.9/10
16/37 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($225 / $344)0.9/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+17
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#239,534$17Vol: $7,954
🏛️ POLITICS#93,587$46Vol: $3,676
📢 MENTIONS#12,692$26Vol: $1,429
CRYPTO#1,394,222$-52Vol: $823
💰 FINANCE#550,890$-6Vol: $395
💻 TECH#192,821$-1Vol: $120
🎭 CULTURE#59,547$13Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,121
Total Redeem
$98
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
117
total markets
Trades
280B / 157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
56W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$17
Win Rate
48%
56W / 60L
Profit Factor
1.29x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $553 (31.59005145797599% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$349
Lakers vs. Rockets$148
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?$56
Knicks vs. Spurs$44
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$40
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu$35
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs$33
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings$33
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner$24
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$23

Top Losers

Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli$-86
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-81
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova$-66
Lakers vs. Rockets$-62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-55
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun$-54
Will France win on 2026-06-04?$-47
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-42
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-40
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea Boskovic$-31

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.218
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.097
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1006s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)66.4%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 7:57:52 PM4 trades$1,0154 min
5/15/2026, 6:57:37 PM2 trades$3400 min
5/25/2026, 11:48:40 PM4 trades$2895 min
5/26/2026, 12:09:05 AM2 trades$2890 min
6/1/2026, 11:22:54 PM2 trades$1430 min
5/18/2026, 7:07:19 AM2 trades$1200 min
4/27/2026, 5:45:56 AM2 trades$1160 min
4/24/2026, 9:11:10 PM2 trades$1000 min
5/11/2026, 2:38:57 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/9/2026, 1:31:45 AM8 trades$1005 min
6/29/2026, 7:53:59 AM1 trades$990 min
5/23/2026, 11:54:05 AM5 trades$961 min
6/4/2026, 7:13:30 PM3 trades$884 min
6/6/2026, 9:06:01 PM9 trades$8010 min
6/29/2026, 7:37:13 AM1 trades$770 min
4/26/2026, 11:49:42 PM2 trades$710 min
5/24/2026, 12:09:10 AM4 trades$613 min
5/15/2026, 2:25:29 AM4 trades$600 min
5/28/2026, 2:50:50 AM2 trades$600 min
6/8/2026, 4:18:07 PM2 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-15
05-24
05-30
06-07
06-15
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.3 / M14.3 / H66.4