bollo87

@bollo87

#12,80482

0x7a47becc66efad188b5113f92b2b55da4f88740b

~49d· 41 markets · 249 tradesVol: $113,045 @DEPibar2026-08-05 17:40:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (22/41)11.8/20
3.91x (win $13,164 / loss $3,367)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.57015/15
Sortino 24.14710/10
$+0.3530 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1368 (41 markets)5.7/10
13/27 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($1,874 / $11,672)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+11,619
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 16%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#4,007$11,889Vol: $85,054
🏛️ POLITICS#1,580,075$-297Vol: $26,607
📈 ECONOMICS#598,126$-10Vol: $286
💰 FINANCE#137,230$1Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,619
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$113,045
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
123B / 126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$11,619
Vol: $113,045

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
22W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$11,619
Win Rate
54%
22W / 19L
Profit Factor
3.91x
Avg Win
$598
Avg Loss
$-187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,488 (0.9026565809483891% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$7,471
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$2,410
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?$607
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$446
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?$444
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$281
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$205
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?$180
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?$176
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$154

Top Losers

Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-1,105
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-785
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-242
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-231
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-200
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-192
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-148
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-135
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-102
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.235
Sortino
1.054
HHI
1417
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.351
Kelly %
39.9%
Half-Kelly
20.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
64.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 624s — normal for humanCV 3.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)28.5%
High (>55c)44.7%

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 8:00:13 AM2 trades$15,7351 min
2/6/2026, 5:24:33 PM2 trades$5,4113 min
1/25/2026, 12:25:00 PM1 trades$3,2550 min
10/30/2025, 10:51:19 AM3 trades$2,2064 min
1/25/2026, 12:54:48 PM1 trades$2,1690 min
3/5/2026, 11:41:13 AM4 trades$1,8571 min
1/26/2026, 7:39:01 AM2 trades$1,5802 min
2/22/2026, 7:23:32 AM3 trades$1,5284 min
1/28/2026, 11:42:03 AM5 trades$1,5193 min
10/28/2025, 7:17:17 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
4/1/2026, 3:51:57 PM8 trades$1,0030 min
10/24/2025, 6:25:21 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
1/7/2026, 8:14:11 AM1 trades$9630 min
1/7/2026, 10:14:01 AM1 trades$9500 min
1/7/2026, 10:41:15 AM1 trades$9440 min
2/2/2026, 12:45:40 PM17 trades$94115 min
2/13/2026, 7:07:01 AM1 trades$8900 min
2/13/2026, 8:48:57 AM1 trades$8800 min
3/12/2026, 6:10:13 AM2 trades$8200 min
1/23/2026, 7:18:22 AM1 trades$8100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
01-10
01-24
02-02
03-05
04-01
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 96 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.8 / M28.5 / H44.7