glueeater

@glueeater

#2,16868

0x7ab480c23d8a0d5a6e95c2b10a5b82bf55aa716b

~65d· 54 markets · 2383 tradesVol: $4,609,8162026-08-04 17:19:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (23/48)9/20
2.30x (win $256,857 / loss $111,820)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.64115/15
Sortino 5.73910/10
$+0.0474 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 1480 (48 markets)5.1/10
18/32 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($83,971 / $188,964)5.1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+88,427
DCA Master
Avg 64.3 entries/market
Whale
$3,063,060 invested
High Roller
$16,121/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,101$45,419Vol: $2,120,391
📈 ECONOMICS#1,031$5,137Vol: $1,359,075
CRYPTO#1,345$31,860Vol: $925,842
💰 FINANCE#759$7,208Vol: $173,173
💻 TECH#257,718$-1,196Vol: $31,335

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$88,427
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,609,816
Total Redeem
$402,526
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
1407B / 976S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~65d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$88,427
Vol: $4,609,816

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
23W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$88,427
Win Rate
48%
23W / 25L
Profit Factor
2.3x
Avg Win
$11,168
Avg Loss
$-4,473

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $148,259 (1.676615046954871% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$85,257
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$34,014
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$28,987
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$28,752
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$25,509
Netanyahu out by March 31?$17,298
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$7,587
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$7,580
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$7,204
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2,991

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-83,971
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-14,310
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$-2,935
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-2,562
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-1,755
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$-843
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?$-773
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?$-731
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-704
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 25?$-605

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.188
Sortino
0.204
HHI
3129
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.7%
Top-5 markets
116.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.3m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 7.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
64.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)69.2%

Sessions

#12
1/27/2026, 2:25:13 PM30 trades$499,95816 min
4/1/2026, 2:43:39 AM18 trades$383,0078 min
4/10/2026, 2:25:57 PM2 trades$366,6850 min
1/27/2026, 3:19:41 PM59 trades$356,42247 min
4/5/2026, 9:57:01 PM18 trades$237,6875 min
4/7/2026, 11:02:59 PM29 trades$233,9920 min
3/31/2026, 4:45:35 PM8 trades$190,1390 min
4/6/2026, 4:52:37 PM14 trades$167,9654 min
3/16/2026, 4:18:53 PM25 trades$150,72026 min
4/6/2026, 5:33:07 PM4 trades$149,0660 min
4/3/2026, 3:55:25 PM48 trades$129,9180 min
1/28/2026, 4:14:28 PM1 trades$121,0120 min
3/30/2026, 12:43:14 PM1 trades$85,0180 min
3/30/2026, 5:11:37 PM24 trades$70,15421 min
3/31/2026, 5:32:37 PM23 trades$65,7782 min
4/3/2026, 6:04:53 PM22 trades$64,0120 min
3/26/2026, 7:30:21 PM7 trades$63,6665 min
1/26/2026, 8:36:01 PM1 trades$59,9260 min
1/30/2026, 3:22:04 AM198 trades$58,41832 min
5/7/2026, 2:31:58 PM81 trades$55,7257 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-06
01-19
01-30
03-16
04-06
05-08
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 64.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.7 / M6.1 / H69.2