@May4th

#2,905,74121

0x7ae49bc0309ea8321d01d84fa77d4e99a6887da2

~85d· 86 markets · 608 tradesVol: $40,0872026-08-04 17:17:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (40/84)8.8/20
0.74x (win $2,783 / loss $3,744)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1780/15
Sortino -2.7380/10
$-0.0936 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 291 (84 markets)10/10
21/52 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 434% of peak ($2,243 / $517)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 7.2 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🎭 CULTURE#806,996$-582Vol: $37,724
📢 MENTIONS#169,568$-216Vol: $1,690
⚽ SPORTS#1,029,470$-2Vol: $523

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-825
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,087
Total Redeem
$201
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
366B / 242S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~85d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-825
Vol: $40,087

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
40W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-825
Win Rate
48%
40W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-87

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,176 (1.4256592980414973% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$569
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?$421
Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$187
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$149
Will "In the Grey" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$128
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$124
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$98
Will "Project Hail Mary" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$87
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?$86
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$85

Top Losers

Will "The Perfect Neighbour" win Best Documentary at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$-589
Will "Mortal Kombat II" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-435
Will Jordan McCullough win American Idol Season 24?$-307
Will "Michael" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-258
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$-253
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$-252
Will Brooks Rosser win American Idol Season 24?$-237
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$-176
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$-172
Will "Fantasy Life" score at least 83 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-126

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
322
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1578s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.15
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.4%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)55.5%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 11:47:50 PM16 trades$8945 min
7/3/2026, 1:03:46 AM12 trades$8551 min
2/17/2026, 12:16:47 AM4 trades$5637 min
7/4/2026, 12:19:05 AM25 trades$5580 min
5/12/2026, 12:38:20 AM6 trades$4760 min
7/8/2026, 1:23:17 AM10 trades$4653 min
2/16/2026, 12:25:35 AM2 trades$3622 min
7/2/2026, 6:54:20 PM3 trades$3520 min
4/2/2026, 5:15:35 AM3 trades$3500 min
2/20/2026, 7:27:44 AM1 trades$3180 min
7/3/2026, 5:32:08 PM12 trades$2991 min
2/13/2026, 12:25:17 PM14 trades$2874 min
5/12/2026, 2:37:01 AM1 trades$2860 min
7/3/2026, 5:26:55 PM7 trades$2560 min
7/7/2026, 12:20:10 AM8 trades$2200 min
2/20/2026, 7:43:14 PM3 trades$2033 min
4/23/2026, 11:12:50 PM6 trades$2000 min
5/5/2026, 8:36:06 PM4 trades$2000 min
5/12/2026, 12:10:57 AM7 trades$1884 min
2/19/2026, 2:53:12 AM15 trades$1771 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-08
02-19
03-05
03-16
05-06
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.4 / M22.1 / H55.5