@0x7b16…358a

#2,844,5400

0x7b16e6b955178022519584ac686e25ba39a1358a

~10d· 27 markets · 282 tradesVol: $159,6742026-08-05 03:41:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (8/26)0.4/20
0.73x (win $775 / loss $1,059)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5810/15
Sortino -3.6640/10
$-0.1274 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3636 (26 markets)0/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 184% of peak ($843 / $459)0/10

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,770,503$-311Vol: $123,880
CRYPTO#64,487$204Vol: $18,147
🎭 CULTURE#803,076$-378Vol: $17,647

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-485
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$159,674
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
69B / 213S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$44
Vol: $0
Week
$-213
Vol: $114,677
Month
$-477
Vol: $119,782
All Time
$-485
Vol: $159,674

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
8W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-485
Win Rate
31%
8W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $670 (1.3819355637143682% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$468
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debru$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$6

Top Losers

Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$-250
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?$-183
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-129
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$-40
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-40
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley$-38
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.128
Sortino
-0.230
HHI
1042
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.129
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.4%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.6m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule12 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)31.9%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 6:27:50 AM6 trades$2,2951 min
8/2/2026, 12:30:23 PM9 trades$2,0020 min
7/12/2026, 7:50:37 AM29 trades$7554 min
8/3/2026, 2:49:17 AM8 trades$4371 min
8/3/2026, 2:56:39 AM6 trades$4001 min
7/25/2026, 1:43:19 AM8 trades$3462 min
7/25/2026, 1:50:43 AM19 trades$3188 min
7/25/2026, 4:50:42 AM13 trades$2922 min
8/4/2026, 8:59:14 AM8 trades$2381 min
8/2/2026, 1:53:57 PM3 trades$2210 min
8/1/2026, 7:30:57 AM12 trades$1410 min
7/13/2026, 1:41:14 AM15 trades$1373 min
7/26/2026, 5:01:57 PM16 trades$1352 min
7/12/2026, 5:54:44 PM19 trades$1244 min
7/24/2026, 8:15:28 PM5 trades$911 min
7/22/2026, 6:49:49 PM15 trades$800 min
8/3/2026, 8:06:29 AM7 trades$751 min
7/22/2026, 6:41:12 PM7 trades$742 min
7/25/2026, 4:21:00 AM10 trades$654 min
8/1/2026, 7:39:21 AM11 trades$634 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
07-13
07-22
07-24
07-25
07-26
08-01
08-02
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.4 / M31.9 / H50.7