@haldiwall2

#2,340,7870

0x7b22759787492a9bea468c80eea14138e786c04e

~7d· 19 markets · 84 tradesVol: $13,3132026-08-04 21:00:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (4/19)0/20
0.15x (win $3 / loss $22)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -16.5490/15
Sortino -12.5360/10
$-0.8772 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2836 (19 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($19 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#275,601$-48Vol: $13,313

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-48
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,313
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
22B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-48
Vol: $13,313

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
4W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-48
Win Rate
21%
4W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3 (0.06892982819292072% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$3
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 28?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 23?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 28?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 29?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 22?$-2
Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 23?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 23?$-1
Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.810
Sortino
-0.943
HHI
609
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.877
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14%
Top-5 markets
34.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.33
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 241s — normal for humanCV 0.33 — uniform order sizes0% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.5%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)18.2%

Sessions

#12
7/22/2026, 8:19:54 PM20 trades$1,2055 min
7/21/2026, 7:26:40 PM25 trades$6071 min
7/21/2026, 2:18:30 PM4 trades$2810 min
7/21/2026, 6:43:12 PM8 trades$260 min
7/28/2026, 1:36:01 PM6 trades$85 min
7/27/2026, 6:48:45 PM2 trades$80 min
7/26/2026, 12:27:12 PM2 trades$30 min
7/23/2026, 6:12:07 PM5 trades$34 min
7/27/2026, 6:42:55 PM2 trades$20 min
7/28/2026, 1:46:26 PM2 trades$20 min
7/29/2026, 10:01:41 AM2 trades$20 min
7/26/2026, 11:55:27 PM6 trades$11 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-22 12:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-27 12:00:00
2026-07-28 12:00:00
2026-07-29 12:00:00
2026-07-30 12:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
68.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.5 / M27.3 / H18.2