@ThoughGate

#3,009,25718

0x7ba74d0ccc0501caa64d3b628a6e3e3149c5b461

~13d· 50 markets · 180 tradesVol: $51,1512026-08-04 21:04:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (20/42)8.8/20
0.25x (win $836 / loss $3,385)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.8420/15
Sortino -8.1150/10
$-0.5959 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1647 (42 markets)4.3/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1699% of peak ($2,759 / $162)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,813,806$-726Vol: $23,619
🏛️ POLITICS#1,613,546$-992Vol: $19,373
₿ CRYPTO#1,582,722$-428Vol: $4,578
💰 FINANCE#644,114$-242Vol: $3,180
🎭 CULTURE#54,474$16Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,371
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,151
Total Redeem
$80
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
156B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$11
Vol: $0
Month
$-26
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,371
Vol: $51,151

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
20W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-2,371
Win Rate
48%
20W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-154

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $503 (0.21229912691383018% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$312
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$88
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$48
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$44
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March?$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-2,002
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-233
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$-200
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-110
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-100
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$-97
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-87

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.433
Sortino
-0.367
HHI
2479
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.558
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.8%
Top-5 markets
73.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.4m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 2.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)50.6%
Mid (20-55c)34%
High (>55c)15.4%

Sessions

#12
3/17/2026, 5:07:11 PM3 trades$1,0513 min
3/23/2026, 6:30:05 PM11 trades$1,02613 min
7/30/2026, 9:58:45 AM3 trades$8830 min
3/22/2026, 1:29:29 PM6 trades$6004 min
3/19/2026, 4:57:37 PM4 trades$3566 min
3/22/2026, 11:07:21 PM8 trades$3035 min
3/26/2026, 5:46:53 PM2 trades$1162 min
3/14/2026, 3:24:03 PM3 trades$1100 min
3/23/2026, 11:23:35 AM1 trades$1020 min
3/17/2026, 3:07:05 PM2 trades$1022 min
3/23/2026, 11:12:23 AM2 trades$1010 min
3/14/2026, 3:50:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/14/2026, 4:05:43 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/14/2026, 9:54:07 AM12 trades$7518 min
3/26/2026, 1:24:51 PM1 trades$720 min
3/19/2026, 2:31:03 PM2 trades$633 min
3/24/2026, 4:26:41 PM2 trades$592 min
3/22/2026, 11:01:09 PM2 trades$580 min
3/19/2026, 8:44:49 AM4 trades$553 min
3/17/2026, 3:20:31 PM10 trades$5113 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-14
03-17
03-19
03-20
03-22
03-23
03-24
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.6 / M34 / H15.4