Tooncinator

@Tooncinator

#2,378,46915

0x7bd3696632a5ee94a3b138517f19e1ec86541c90

~25d· 31 markets · 103 tradesVol: $11,2842026-08-05 16:39:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (11/27)5.4/20
0.81x (win $304 / loss $377)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0410/15
Sortino -2.7590/10
$-0.0751 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 953 (27 markets)7.7/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($171 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

5
💰 FINANCE#39,496$21Vol: $8,551
🏛️ POLITICS#1,463,660$-49Vol: $1,441
📈 ECONOMICS#16,015$63Vol: $515
SPORTS#294,611$8Vol: $472
CRYPTO#1,464,167$-97Vol: $306

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,284
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
61B / 42S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$30
Vol: $0
Month
$30
Vol: $0
All Time
$-54
Vol: $11,284

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
11W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-54
Win Rate
41%
11W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185 (3.460432997387085% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$81
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$63
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?$42
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$32
Will Meta Platforms (META) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26?$27
Bills vs. Broncos$21
US government shutdown Saturday?$16
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?$16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?$4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$2

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-60
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-57
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?$-30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$-29
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-22
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-20
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?$-20
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?$-20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.162
HHI
474
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
38.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)42.6%
High (>55c)39.3%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2026, 12:04:31 PM2 trades$1200 min
6/14/2026, 9:46:52 PM6 trades$1121 min
1/9/2026, 3:14:44 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/3/2026, 4:53:16 PM6 trades$891 min
3/9/2026, 1:05:17 AM6 trades$855 min
7/22/2026, 7:23:58 PM6 trades$792 min
4/19/2026, 3:41:08 AM8 trades$681 min
1/15/2026, 4:44:30 AM3 trades$683 min
1/17/2026, 5:21:50 PM3 trades$605 min
7/5/2026, 8:16:52 PM4 trades$581 min
3/3/2026, 10:13:05 PM4 trades$525 min
1/18/2026, 2:54:08 AM1 trades$510 min
1/13/2026, 8:29:16 PM1 trades$500 min
1/25/2026, 5:18:48 AM3 trades$506 min
3/9/2026, 1:15:35 AM4 trades$507 min
7/5/2026, 8:24:40 PM2 trades$470 min
3/9/2026, 1:28:33 AM4 trades$453 min
3/23/2026, 5:31:07 PM2 trades$400 min
1/22/2026, 8:48:00 PM2 trades$371 min
1/29/2026, 5:16:36 PM1 trades$370 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
01-18
01-25
01-29
03-07
03-10
04-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18 / M42.6 / H39.3