@0x7bdd…5fb3
220x7bdd1388fa93df20ddcfdb7535d195596d6d5fb3
~134d· 264 markets · 1142 trades2026-08-04 23:53:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (111/247)7.5/20
0.51x (win $3,288 / loss $6,398)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0050/15
Sortino -5.1610/10
$-0.1626 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 129 (247 markets)10/10
45/96 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 736% of peak ($3,678 / $500)0/10
Badges
1🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,127
Total Redeem
$176
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
264
total markets
Trades
651B / 491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~134d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
112W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$-565
Win Rate
46%
112W / 134L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-57
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $519 (0.9193859664654119% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?$208
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$170
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$142
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$117
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$77
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$72
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07?$71
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$70
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?$69
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$65
Top Losers
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-589
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-557
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-320
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-254
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-253
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$-237
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-204
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-195
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?$-195
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-187
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.261
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.152
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
19.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 916s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.98
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)60.8%
Sessions
#122/8/2026, 6:51:35 AM2 trades$5150 min
6/14/2026, 5:37:57 AM2 trades$4900 min
1/28/2026, 6:06:39 AM1 trades$4900 min
2/8/2026, 9:13:19 AM1 trades$4000 min
3/4/2026, 8:49:03 PM3 trades$3962 min
6/11/2026, 8:16:36 PM3 trades$3903 min
2/6/2026, 3:28:35 AM1 trades$3560 min
1/5/2026, 8:32:33 AM1 trades$3170 min
3/6/2026, 12:54:57 AM1 trades$3020 min
2/5/2026, 11:58:27 PM1 trades$3000 min
6/17/2026, 7:55:43 PM4 trades$2913 min
6/9/2026, 10:23:22 AM30 trades$28530 min
6/11/2026, 7:14:48 PM4 trades$2825 min
5/18/2026, 10:07:48 AM2 trades$2803 min
5/18/2026, 10:16:47 AM8 trades$26712 min
5/3/2026, 8:38:14 PM6 trades$2630 min
4/26/2026, 6:00:22 AM30 trades$2500 min
6/13/2026, 8:34:52 PM4 trades$2401 min
6/17/2026, 1:20:01 AM4 trades$2210 min
5/15/2026, 11:00:09 PM2 trades$2201 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-14
03-03
04-12
05-17
06-12
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 145 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M25.7 / H60.8