@0x7C3DAF…3501

#109,52549

0x7c3daf29e02c1ce8a158d9babf6f883cd75b2d7d

~26d· 37 markets · 323 tradesVol: $125,2082026-08-04 16:19:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (12/29)5.7/20
1.25x (win $11,457 / loss $9,163)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.41515/15
Sortino 2.66010/10
$+0.1257 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 2063 (29 markets)2.2/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($3,279 / $4,949)0.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+565
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#14,521$1,400Vol: $108,582
SPORTS#1,792,761$-480Vol: $9,992
CRYPTO#55,393$284Vol: $3,708
📢 MENTIONS#173,920$-610Vol: $1,580
🌤️ WEATHER#285,130$-100Vol: $648
📈 ECONOMICS#14,930$72Vol: $465
💰 FINANCE#479,208$-1Vol: $233

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$125,208
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
129B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$565
Vol: $125,208

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
12W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$565
Win Rate
41%
12W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$955
Avg Loss
$-611

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,595 (16.99619152215117% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$5,787
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2,703
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1,105
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$357
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$314
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$304
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$288
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$264
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$203
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$113

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-3,056
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-1,588
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,452
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,036
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-584
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$-421
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-400
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-200
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?$-176
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-120

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.142
HHI
3870
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.077
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.6%
Top-5 markets
117.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
4/8/2026, 8:51:23 PM8 trades$17,9660 min
4/5/2026, 3:57:11 PM2 trades$13,3390 min
4/15/2026, 9:14:54 PM51 trades$4,26621 min
4/19/2026, 7:58:40 PM8 trades$4,2335 min
3/27/2026, 9:16:43 PM2 trades$3,7311 min
4/8/2026, 9:02:39 PM5 trades$2,5950 min
4/10/2026, 6:00:51 PM11 trades$2,4450 min
4/8/2026, 3:07:27 PM7 trades$1,8200 min
4/17/2026, 4:25:04 PM25 trades$1,71810 min
4/12/2026, 7:35:47 PM3 trades$1,6060 min
4/8/2026, 8:40:45 PM13 trades$1,4765 min
4/15/2026, 9:04:54 PM2 trades$1,2810 min
4/8/2026, 3:13:21 PM2 trades$1,1320 min
3/23/2026, 8:08:43 PM1 trades$8250 min
3/27/2026, 8:32:21 PM4 trades$8002 min
4/15/2026, 2:30:38 PM13 trades$7821 min
5/16/2026, 8:19:03 PM2 trades$7040 min
5/13/2026, 10:03:18 PM8 trades$7000 min
4/22/2026, 6:06:02 PM11 trades$5991 min
4/13/2026, 5:57:01 PM10 trades$5380 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-09
04-14
04-17
04-19
04-22
04-27
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31 / M33.3 / H35.7