@0x7C8DfA…8888

#2,772,4758

0x7c8dfa6acdd7d4bada6fcf257e9af54ec6fbd62e

~18d· 101 markets · 351 tradesVol: $19,2922026-08-04 18:10:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (27/96)0/20
0.75x (win $785 / loss $1,049)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2470/15
Sortino -5.3590/10
$-0.0713 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 830 (96 markets)8.3/10
4/15 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 675% of peak ($335 / $50)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,557,842$-266Vol: $6,697
SPORTS#304,237$7Vol: $6,024
💰 FINANCE#87,903$3Vol: $2,995
🌤️ WEATHER#220,569$-4Vol: $1,209
🎭 CULTURE#633,696$-4Vol: $999
🏛️ POLITICS#1,310,954$-12Vol: $852
📈 ECONOMICS#601,348$-10Vol: $486
💻 TECH#196,054$-1Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-287
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,292
Total Redeem
$117
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
204B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
27W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-287
Win Rate
28%
27W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $402 (1.4002853960740638% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$124
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$110
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$35
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$31
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$20
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$17

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$-210
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$-40
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$-20
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$-11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.265
Sortino
-0.259
HHI
562
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.2m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 3.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.84
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)28.9%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 9:36:13 AM92 trades$1,0023 min
4/7/2026, 7:53:59 AM43 trades$7081 min
3/17/2026, 9:49:21 PM7 trades$4955 min
3/17/2026, 11:35:21 PM6 trades$4364 min
3/17/2026, 11:59:01 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/17/2026, 11:20:01 PM1 trades$3900 min
3/17/2026, 9:33:39 PM17 trades$2100 min
3/16/2026, 10:03:23 PM1 trades$2000 min
3/17/2026, 3:47:09 PM2 trades$1701 min
3/17/2026, 3:33:17 PM2 trades$1040 min
3/17/2026, 3:23:35 PM2 trades$900 min
3/17/2026, 9:43:11 PM1 trades$670 min
4/6/2026, 4:15:03 PM3 trades$480 min
3/13/2026, 3:24:17 PM10 trades$4614 min
3/12/2026, 5:32:37 PM5 trades$402 min
3/18/2026, 6:19:31 AM1 trades$400 min
5/7/2026, 8:09:39 AM7 trades$340 min
4/22/2026, 10:20:12 AM5 trades$325 min
3/13/2026, 3:55:11 PM12 trades$267 min
3/30/2026, 7:28:30 AM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-14
03-17
03-30
04-11
05-07
06-26
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.84/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51 / M20.1 / H28.9