@waterhead
#667,394760x7cd348af23801ac98483798f3dac86ae97c621a8
~42d· 45 markets · 132 tradesVol: $11,6892026-08-04 20:09:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (38/44)20/20
1.58x (win $360 / loss $227)9.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.50415/15
Sortino 3.25510/10
$+0.0168 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 488 (44 markets)10/10
28/32 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($111 / $133)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+2
Consistent
28/32 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,597,573$-51Vol: $7,702
₿ CRYPTO#186,976$19Vol: $1,504
💰 FINANCE#47,029$14Vol: $1,193
🏛️ POLITICS#156,317$13Vol: $1,000
🎭 CULTURE#180,676$1Vol: $206
📈 ECONOMICS#53,442$6Vol: $84
Overview
#1Net PnL
$2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,689
Total Redeem
$240
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
75B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2
Vol: $11,689
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
38W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$2
Win Rate
86%
38W / 6L
Profit Factor
1.58x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-45
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (85.14204545454545% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$63
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$45
Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$42
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?$41
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?$14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March?$12
Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8
Top Losers
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$-111
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14?$-51
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-40
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-15
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.130
HHI
694
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.5%
Top-5 markets
43.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 838s — normal for humanCV 1.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.34
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)93.3%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 8:37:47 PM5 trades$1,1443 min
2/16/2026, 11:30:57 AM2 trades$6732 min
1/28/2026, 2:17:51 PM6 trades$6643 min
6/12/2026, 1:59:19 PM5 trades$5951 min
6/5/2026, 9:21:45 AM5 trades$5510 min
5/12/2026, 6:27:27 PM5 trades$4432 min
6/10/2026, 10:04:33 AM4 trades$4042 min
4/15/2026, 8:49:22 AM2 trades$4000 min
5/18/2026, 8:18:49 PM6 trades$3660 min
3/21/2026, 2:11:59 AM4 trades$2527 min
7/16/2026, 6:28:59 PM3 trades$2514 min
6/3/2026, 12:07:17 PM3 trades$2400 min
5/12/2026, 7:41:14 PM5 trades$2370 min
7/18/2026, 11:06:04 PM2 trades$2320 min
5/27/2026, 1:57:37 PM2 trades$2260 min
3/2/2026, 2:18:51 PM2 trades$2160 min
2/25/2026, 3:54:46 PM1 trades$2160 min
2/25/2026, 3:29:58 PM1 trades$2150 min
5/22/2026, 11:09:02 AM4 trades$2090 min
5/13/2026, 6:45:34 PM5 trades$2001 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-25
02-25
03-27
05-13
06-10
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M1.3 / H93.3