@MR-MURDOCK

#2,986,82620

0x7d169664f117dffc170af4e6e2338665ecdfe22f

~41d· 290 markets · 1136 tradesVol: $114,7702026-08-04 22:39:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (111/290)4.1/20
0.98x (win $12,894 / loss $13,195)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1670/15
Sortino -0.1960/10
$-0.0082 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 347 (290 markets)10/10
18/41 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 667% of peak ($4,503 / $676)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,854,600$-2,034Vol: $112,474
₿ CRYPTO#1,062,575$-6Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,812
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$114,770
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
290
total markets
Trades
487B / 649S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Month
$5
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,812
Vol: $114,770

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
111W / 179L events
Realized PnL
$-1,812
Win Rate
38%
111W / 179L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-85

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,946 (2.177307938469687% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$1,578
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1,474
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$895
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$683
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$600
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$600
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$551
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$486
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$477
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$435

Top Losers

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-2,428
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-2,272
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$-1,539
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-600
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-456
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-376
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-240
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$-230
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-213
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-201

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.008
HHI
568
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
42.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 555s — normal for humanCV 2.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency5.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.19
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.2%
High (>55c)48%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 5:26:47 AM8 trades$5,2595 min
6/22/2026, 2:38:29 AM4 trades$4,7062 min
6/27/2026, 5:00:32 AM6 trades$4,3495 min
6/22/2026, 6:56:17 PM2 trades$4,1620 min
6/28/2026, 2:56:37 AM6 trades$3,1650 min
6/17/2026, 3:11:04 AM4 trades$2,2303 min
6/15/2026, 1:08:36 AM5 trades$1,9350 min
6/15/2026, 12:58:25 AM4 trades$1,7673 min
6/14/2026, 2:53:43 AM2 trades$1,5650 min
6/27/2026, 5:24:04 AM10 trades$1,5053 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:57 AM2 trades$1,5010 min
6/14/2026, 5:57:01 AM2 trades$1,4420 min
6/22/2026, 2:45:35 AM3 trades$1,4080 min
6/28/2026, 1:14:47 AM14 trades$1,39613 min
6/24/2026, 3:51:11 AM2 trades$1,3880 min
6/26/2026, 4:12:26 AM8 trades$1,2335 min
6/24/2026, 8:13:11 PM7 trades$1,0976 min
6/28/2026, 1:34:23 AM2 trades$1,0800 min
6/25/2026, 10:13:56 AM8 trades$1,0758 min
6/17/2026, 12:45:41 AM4 trades$1,0660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-15
06-21
06-27
07-07
07-19
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M46.2 / H48