@alexandertm05

#1,625,15842

0x7d7dd801d73acc988cf2fb9b1ed19c2b1ff5a03e

~11d· 35 markets · 125 tradesVol: $18,7212026-08-05 00:39:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (11/33)1.7/20
1.15x (win $452 / loss $392)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.89215/15
Sortino 3.02110/10
$+0.0863 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 1598 (33 markets)4.5/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 140% of peak ($145 / $103)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#323,333$6Vol: $18,371
🏛️ POLITICS#616,673$-0Vol: $245
₿ CRYPTO#1,165,254$-11Vol: $105

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,721
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
35
total markets
Trades
57B / 68S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-5
Vol: $18,721

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
11W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
33%
11W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $294 (57.10894941634241% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$153
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$75
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO?$66
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?$41
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$38
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$32
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$23
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$17
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$4
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.$3

Top Losers

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$-83
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-51
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$-40
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-34
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-30
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?$-20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-20
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$-20
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.155
HHI
3244
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
51.3%
Top-5 markets
92.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1608s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.18
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)43.9%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 3:03:25 AM10 trades$5032 min
6/15/2026, 6:17:13 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/15/2026, 4:43:58 PM8 trades$2762 min
6/17/2026, 10:20:01 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/22/2026, 2:04:04 AM10 trades$1353 min
6/15/2026, 5:06:34 AM4 trades$1260 min
6/18/2026, 9:41:41 PM2 trades$1250 min
6/17/2026, 12:13:32 AM2 trades$1090 min
6/18/2026, 2:42:19 AM4 trades$950 min
6/17/2026, 8:19:20 PM2 trades$710 min
6/15/2026, 4:05:22 AM2 trades$420 min
6/15/2026, 4:51:46 AM3 trades$400 min
6/15/2026, 5:21:04 AM2 trades$380 min
6/16/2026, 5:40:44 PM2 trades$380 min
6/15/2026, 6:06:16 PM2 trades$360 min
6/15/2026, 1:11:27 AM2 trades$330 min
6/14/2026, 10:18:33 PM2 trades$320 min
6/15/2026, 4:42:33 AM2 trades$280 min
6/16/2026, 3:27:12 AM2 trades$260 min
6/15/2026, 1:29:19 AM2 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-13
03-14
03-22
03-25
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-17
06-18
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L38.6 / M17.5 / H43.9